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Thursday, June 6, 2013

4 Essential Trading Principles (Golden Rules)

“Sometimes people are so attached to the way things are that they would rather keep things the same and continue to fail rather than make those changes.” -   Adrienne Toghraie

We tend to think of harvesting our gains and smoothing open trades; something that is easier said than done. Big institutions have very high stakes that would have impact on the markets if they were to be smoothed at once. This is often in the favor of those institutions. At the end, you’ll need to choose a trading system that fits you.

It’s sad that misinformed souls and even highly educated people feel that one can’t be triumphant in the market for the long-term. This is far from the truth. It’s true that only a small percentage of speculators would enjoy lasting success in the markets, for we’re competing against highly intelligent traders who have a great deal of knowledge of how the markets work. Then why should it be strange that the percentage of successful traders is usually small? This is also a fact in other areas of human endeavors – not only in trading. I’m confident that if you can adopt the essential trading principles discussed here in your trading, you’ll be a winning trader. 

I incorporate 4 essential trading principles into my trading rules:

  1. There must be an exit target for each trade: For each trade I open, there is always a predetermined exit target, and a maximum trading duration. Any negativity shown by my open trade is never a surprise to me for it may be presumptuous to conclude that an order is hopeless while it’s still open.  Usually my trade is smoothed after it hits the stop, or the breakeven stop or the trailing stop or the target or the maximum trading duration (in terms of weeks) has expired. I don’t use discretionary exit.

  1. Positive expectancy must be part and parcel of your trading system: What makes sense is a situation in which you aim to gain more than what you’re risking. It makes sense to risk $1 in trying to gain $2, but it doesn’t make sense to risk $2 in order to gain $1. Some risk $100 to make $1, or even risk their whole account to realize 5% profit. Doesn’t it matter if you make $200 today and lose $2000 tomorrow? This attitude isn’t OK, since it’s negative expectancy which ensures that you end up losing in the long run. It’s far better to risk $10 to gain $30 (or $50). This means your reward must be greater than your risk. This is what we call positive expectancy and it ensures that you end up winning in the long run. 

  1. Abort your losers and ride your winners: This is an excellent golden rule which makes peerless rational/logical sense. If you cut you winners and ride your losers, you’re like the gardener who uproots the flowers and waters the weeds. If you cut you losers, and let your winners run, you’re like the gardener who removes the weeds and waters the flowers. Isn’t that logical? I cut my losses with the aid of my hard, physical stops, and I ride my winners until they possibly reach their targets.

  1. Use small lot sizes: I’m yet to see the guru who lasts very long in the markets by betting too big. In my trades, I use very small position, which may limit my profits, but also limits my losses. This ensures that I trade with peace of mind and remain indifferent to the outcome of an individual trades.  Some think this is cowardly. Yes, coward people tend to remain safe as they point to the ruins created to overconfident traders. My sizes gradually increase with my gains and decrease with my losses. With this, I’ve found it easier to accept losses that don’t affect my accumulated profits, let alone my initial capital. I’ve also found it easier to recover my negativity. I’ve found it’s usually better to be a happy chicken than a sick tiger.

No matter the kind of trend confirmation patterns you’re using, no matter the trading methodology or chart analysis us use, you need to know that strategies don’t fail; only traders do. Systems are only strategies. They’re not traders. They don’t open trades. They are only a means to help you make trading decisions. If anyone using a trading strategy sustains a drawdown, then the drawdown belongs to her/him. I’m not saying loss is completely avoidable. Top traders lose sometimes, but not always. The inability to abort your losers is the real risk, not the strategy you use. There is no business under heaven that is immune from occasional loss. All enterprises have negativity as part of them.

What I mentioned above are far more important than any trading strategies. If you incorporate them into your trading management rules, you’ll be a permanent victor in the market. These principles are ignored at your own peril. 

I’d like to end this article with the quote below:

“However, you are the most important part of your system.  So, if you are not working properly, it is just as though your computer, or software, or any one of the trading tools you use is not working.  In this case, the thing that is not working is you, not your system, which is doing just fine.” - Adrienne Toghraie (Source: http://www.tradingontarget.com)


For more articles, go to: http://www.paxforex.com/forex-blog



Tuesday, June 4, 2013

THE REJECTED STONE

The stone the builders rejected has become the capstone


DISCLAIMER

This anthology is for entertainment purposes only. The poems are merely the mere thoughts of the poet and are not intended to offend anyone based on race, sex, color, politics, religion and nationality. The thoughts do not represent the opinions of the publisher - no responsibility whatsoever is accepted in this regards. The anthology remains an entertainment piece and is not intended to address any issues. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation by the publisher or the poet, and is not intended to be relied upon by readers in making (or refraining from making) any decisions. No warranties are made that the content would please everybody. Anyone who is easily offended may not read this poetry. By deciding to read the poems, you have agreed to acknowledge this disclaimer.
Comments could be sent to: editor@literactworld.com



INTRODUCTION

Here comes the Rejected Stone, which contains 28 great poems. It is an open secret that most publishers reject poetry because they think it usually has poor sales potential. There are many reasons for this, including the fact that poetry is often very difficult to be understood by an average reader. Poems tend to have hidden meanings, and a result of this, readers feel disappointed rather than feeling satisfied and entertained. Unless one is a lover of poems, has a good understanding of English and/or reading for an exam, one would not feel inclined to read poetry.

However, the poems in this book are different in many ways and this is one reason the premium edition is titled: A Break from the Norm. Each poem is very easy to understand, has no hidden meaning (which means you would easily get what the poem is all about), and would entertain you.

Now you can have a feel of the Rejected Stone free…


Contents

Solider Ants

The Thoughts of a Prostitute

A Buffalo Dies in a Town

Behold the Maple Leaf!

Encomium for Melinda Gates

Ill-gotten Certificates

Mother Teresa

The Enweying Lyric

The Cry of a Lecher

Runsman

Seen From a Window

Mosquitoes Anthem

Agony of Love

Anne Frank

The Beauty of True Love

Campus Life

Gloworld

At the Embassy

Why the Vicissitudes?

I Am Under Construction

Vacancies

The English Premier League

Shanghai

Yahoo! Boys

Halitosis

AIDS

A Wonder of the Trading World

The Plight of the Teacher

You can also get published here: http://literactworld.com/author-submissions



A Woman’s Addiction To Forex

TRADING IS IDEAL FOR A WOMAN!


As I told you in an earlier article, women can be, and are great traders as well. They certainly got admirable qualities that can also help them in trading. There’s no level of success in trading that isn’t attainable by women. I foresee that the number of women in trading would only be increasing geometrically.  The purpose of the interview you’re about to read is to encourage women to come out of their comfort zone and embark on their journey towards real financial freedom. N. Hayes is just a woman like you (or your wife, mom, sister, and aunt). But she’s taken a noble decision – to be a successful trader.  It’s a wonderful privilege for me to present this interview with her to you. Here we go:

Azeez: Please introduce yourself.

N. Hayes: Hi everyone, my name is N. Hayes, but most people call me N. I am currently living in Europe and I have been trading forex, for more than a year now. Before being a trader, I worked in the hospitality industry, in the Human Resources Department. I enjoyed it very much but I am definitely enjoying Forex more. Trading started out as just a hobby to pass the time and it has now become my full time job and I love it. Travelling is one of my favorite pastimes, other than reading, cooking, gardening, watching movies and TV series. Currently, I am looking at expanding my career by taking a full 10-month intense course in Money Management, Psychology of Trading, Forex Foundation, etc. My goal is to help others get started in trading and to share my knowledge and experience in this business.

Azeez: How did you start your trading career and what really motivated you to start trading?


N. Hayes:  I quit my Human Resource Management job a little more than year ago and started trading full time. I have been hooked on trading since early last year when I had to spend so much time at the hospital and at home due to a shoulder injury. I was bored and started to surf around and I came across an informative website on Forex. Coming from a job with administrative and financial background, I became interested in Forex and I immediately opened an account (real account!) and started trading like a pro (no knowledge in FX at all except 2 years in the futures market many years back). I margined out my 2k account in less than a month! That didn't stop me from funding my account again. I promised myself that I would get my 2k back from the market. But this time, I subscribed to a signals provider and learn how to trade by reading FX websites, forums etc.  I was doing well, my account tripled the amount and that was when I decided to be a full time FX trader and said good bye to my well paying job. I love the freedom of being able to work from home and the freedom to travel! My first Forex related holiday was to the Las Vegas Trader's Expo, last year in November, which I highly recommend to all traders, especially the ones who are new to this business and wanting to gain more knowledge in trading.

Azeez: Do you think women should be seriously encouraged to trade?


N. Hayes:  Being a female trader, one must be prepared to accept her position as an outsider - Trading is a man’s world (I heard this often but I don't see it this way).This is definitely not gender specific. There are definitely more men in this business, but success and failure come from inside oneself. Of course, the circle of "friends" will be more men than women, I can vouch for this. Having thicker skin helps because it does get brutal sometimes, especially when you are trading with a group, sharing ideas and learning from one another.  It can get nasty! Anyway, if one's goal is to become a successful trader, then they need to do whatever it takes to learn a strategy, a method, practice it over and over again until it becomes second nature.  You may need to work harder as a woman to prove yourself, but that is just a part of the excitement and challenge. Take the challenge and you will be successful.
There are many free educational materials that you can download online and plenty of websites that offer great trading information. You just need to spend time searching for them.  If it is tough to be learning on your own, then work with a trading coach or get a mentor to help you and to keep you growing as a trader. Do not be afraid to get help or ask! There is no right or wrong questions.  I know some women are scared of sounding silly by asking a specific question. This fear is rather baseless in many respects. I believe it is time for more women to become traders. Contrary to what some might believe, trading does not turn a woman into becoming a non feminine woman or developing a tough personality. Trading is a refreshing change to the female-dominated professions and I do know some women who choose to become a full trader, mainly because of the freedom it offers. A friend of mine who chose to be a full time trader is a great mom to her daughter.  She made a deliberate decision to spend more time with her family and less time in the office. It was not an easy choice as she enjoyed her job very much but she realized that Forex can give her the freedom and flexibility of being a mom and a career woman. Being a trader, she does not need to be at the office 8 hours a day.


Azeez: What do you think are the qualities peculiar to women that could help them in trading?

N. Hayes:  I think the best qualities we women have is the ability to multi task, use our intuition, and our perseverance. I also believe that our ability to separate our trading lives from our personal lives is a big bonus, as it helps to alleviate the stress of trading… we have other outlets to relieve our stress.

Azeez: What kind of trader are you? What is your style of trading?


N. Hayes: I used to be more of a scalper (very short term trader) but lately, since becoming a full time trader, I am more of a day and swing trader now. This matches perfectly with my method of trading as my trades are based on technical analysis. I am quite conservative in choosing my trades, the ones with high probability set ups.

Azeez: How do you analyze the markets? What are your favorite pairs/crosses and timeframes?

N. Hayes: Being a conservative technical trader, I describe myself as practical, realistic and decisive when it comes to trading. I love facts and what I think is concrete. I have a set of standards (in my trading plan) and I follow them consistently. With rules in hand, I have no problems weighing alternatives and take rapid decisive action. I let my charts speak to me and I listen to them. I started with EurUSd and Usdjpy but now, I am trading most of the majors and the AudJpy and UsdJpy for crosses. For trade set ups, I start at the higher timeframes; daily, H4 and 1 hour. When executing and exiting trades, I will move to the lower timeframes, 30 minute.

Azeez: Could you please tell us how you apply money management?

N. Hayes:  Money management is so important, next to a trading plan and psychology of trading. You see, why most traders fail when they come to the market is they rely on their emotions to make their trading decisions. With good MM, I don’t need to worry about my emotions while I am trading. I have in my trading plan how many pips I am willing to risk per trade and how many trades I have to make if I have few losses in a row etc. I cannot emphasize enough how important a trading plan is.
Do keep in mind that all big losses once began as small losses. Moreover, if you let a losing trade turn into a big loss, that’s going to have a detrimental effect on your trading capital, and once you take a couple of big losses, it’s much more difficult to trade and to gain back the money which you’ve lost. These mistakes can be easily prevented if you have a good money management.
How I determine how much money I actually make on a particular trade? Well, it depends on how much money I actually put into the trade. My usual ratio is 2:1 and 3:1 (low and high probability trades)

Azeez: I really appreciate your blog (http://www.smurfette4x.com/). What are the aims behind this blog?


N. Hayes:  The aim behind my blog is to help other traders that are just entering the trading world.  My goal is to share the knowledge I have gained with everyone in an attempt to make it less intimidating for people considering trading.

Azeez: Do you fancy or at least, would advise the use of trading robots?


N. Hayes:  These so called "Expert advisors" have their pros and cons. I do believe that some work but again a trader needs to spend some time looking for the right one. Also, the mentality of the trader plays an important role in this. There is no such thing as earning money without doing any kind of work. Many people get themselves burned by ignoring the fact that research and testing are definitely a must before they link these Expert Advisors to their live account. Learn how these Expert Advisors work first before having your hard earned money totally at the mercy of a program. There is no doubt of the high success rates that these systems hold but while these values are very positive, it is important to realize the risk that accompanies these rates of success.  These experts are programs for certain market conditions and not for difficult market conditions that could lead to serious losses.  As for myself, I am currently testing an Expert Advisor which is programmed based on the Grid Trading technique and so far, I am quite happy with it (Grid Trading is a trading technique that uses a series of pending orders creating a "grid".)

Azeez: Everyone has their strengths and weaknesses, what do you think is your greatest strength and, your weakness as a trader?


N. Hayes:  I think my strength is that I’m willing to put as much energy and focus into the job as I have to.  My greatest weakness would be that I become a little more cautious and doubt my instincts when I have multiple losses, but on the positive side I don’t give up and work towards improving my skills no matter what.


Azeez: How many pips on average, do you make per month?


N. Hayes:  I have a daily goal of 20-50 pips. Monthly average is between 500 - 1000, it really varies, depending on the market. Also, I am more of a conservative trader; I would rather wait for the market to give me a trade than jumping in just for the sake of making some pips. There are times that I don't trade for a few days, when I don't see any good, solid setups. It is fine with me. Since becoming a full time trader, I realize how much it pays to be patient and disciplined.

Azeez: What do you enjoy doing apart from trading?


N. Hayes:  Traveling! My favorite destination is the USA. This is one of the reasons why I decided to be a full time trader, I can work from anywhere in the world, as long as I have my laptop with me.

Azeez: Do you have any advice for traders out there, especially female traders like you?


N. Hayes:  I am not sure if I am the right person to give out any great advice here as I am still "learning" myself. This is the best part of this business, one never stops learning. There is always something new and the market doesn't pause for us.  We need to keep updated and try not to fall too far behind. One reminder that I apply to myself and I would like to share with others, is that "If you are satisfied with the kind of work you're doing and why you are doing it, you will be successful.” I really believe in this. If you put your heart in it and are willing to learn as much as you possibly can, you will open up doors you can't even imagine. Never let others influence you otherwise, because if you let others define what success is for you…then it is pretty easy to stray and to lose sight of yourself. Everyone has their own dreams and goals, never forget that. Also, don't let fear get in the way. Trading is ideal for a woman. It takes time to master so one has to have patience in order to be able to succeed in this business. This is a profession that takes a lot of hard work, focus, strength (emotionally) and determination but if you have what it takes and if you are up for the challenge, you can do it!

Azeez: What are your plans for the future, as long as trading is concerned?


N. Hayes:  I am described by friends as a flexible person. Not to mention a daring one. I do have plans for my future but my plans are mostly adjustable. I go with the flow. I prefer to tell you about my dreams instead, as they are more concrete and something that I am really looking forward to and working on. My dream is to be among the successful women in this line of business some day, with a good trading portfolio. My trading blog is a start, for me to share my ideas with my followers. I want to expand from here, maybe giving lessons in a subject that is related to trading. My aim is to help new traders in realizing the reality of what Forex can give them and not seeing it behind rosy glasses. In short I would like to help prevent others from making the same mistakes that I have made in the beginning of my career.

Azeez: N. Hayes, thank you very, very much for this insightful interview!
Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach

 

Goldplat Remains a Hopeless Stock

Goldplat stock (LSE:GDP) has been in a bearish mode since the last year and it has remained so till now. This is bias that would inevitable continue. The EMA period 50 has been sloping downwards for the most part of this year.

Historically, any rallies - which were few and far between - had given nice shorting privileges. Right now, the stock is so weak that it even gapped downwards in the early part of this week. The only succor to the bulls is the possibility of the gap getting filled – something that would be essentially transitory. The price is below the EMA and the shares are hopeless. The price could go down towards the support line of 7.000. Nevertheless, this is good news for the bears. A bear that has sold this stock since the beginning of the year 2013 would have gained thousands of points in profits. That is one way of making money in any market condition. Despite any positive or negative experience, we’re irresistibly making progress. What could compare with the privilege of making your own trading decisions?

This article is ended with the quote below:

“If you have confidence in your ability to win, work hard, gain a wealth of experience and persist, you'll master the markets and make the profits you are looking for. To gain a wealth of experience, you need to be able to survive in the markets sufficiently long to allow experience to happen to you.” – Joe Ross


Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach


Sunday, June 2, 2013

Weekly Trading Forecasts (June 3 - 7, 2013)

Because of the weakness on the Greenback, the EURUSD and the GBPUSD have been bullish, whereas the USDCHF has been bearish. This outlook may be valid for the next several trading days. The JPY pairs also have the potential to maintain their extant outlook.    

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
There is a bullish indication on the EURUSD, with the current Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart. The price recently reached a weekly low of 1.2887 during a bearish retracement attempt, and it has been going upwards since then, to the point of generating a bullish signal. The price could reach the resistance lines at 1.3100 and 1.3200 respectively. During that attempt, any bearish correction along the way ought not to take the price below the support line of 1.2950.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bearish
This is a bear market which has a Bearish Confirmation Pattern (as signified by the indicators). There was a recent clean rally in the market, reaching a peak of 0.9780, which was a weekly high. From that weekly high, the price has gone downwards by over 200 pips. This is an outlook that is supposed to continue to be valid. Eventually, the price may fall towards the support level at 0.9400.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
There is a new era for this wonderful pair. From the weekly low of 1.5008, the Cable has gone upwards by roughly 230 pips. There is now a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, for the indicators now point to the bulls’ supremacy. The nearest target to be reached between now and the next several trading days is the distribution territory at 1.5300. Along the way, any potential bearish threats ought not to take the price below the accumulation territory of 1.5100.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bearish
This is a bear market – something that could remain so. One reason behind this is the weakness of the Greenback. The Greenback is not strong enough to pull this pair higher, and as a result of this, there is still a bearish indication on the chart. It is advisable that only short trades ought to be sought here, unless otherwise indicated. The only thing that can render this possibility invalid is the condition in which the price breaks the supply level at 102.50 to the upside and closes above it.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
There is currently a degree of uncertainty on this cross. The new lease of strength in the EUR has made it possible to help the cross withstand bearish threats. So it can be said that the price has been bullish recently. The price has not gone upwards determinedly. Nevertheless, it is sagacious to seek long trades because there is a great probability that when the price does break out, it would be to the upside.  
This article is concluded with the quote below:

“The key to success is to decide when to follow the crowd and when to go against it.” – Joe Ross


For more articles, go to: http://www.paxforex.com/forex-blog