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Sunday, July 6, 2014

Daily analysis of major pairs for July 7, 2014

The Cable is still facing a big challenge around the price territory at 1.7150. However, the market is expected to go further upwards as a result of the strong northward bias on it.

EUR/USD:  As it was said in the last forecast, this pair has already assumed a new bearish bias, going downwards. Right now, the price closed below the resistance line at 1.3600. The target for this week is at the support line at 1.3550; and with the Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market makes it is logical that that the price would go further downwards.


USD/CHF: After much effort from the bulls, the USD/CHF has turned bullish, going further north. The resistance level at 0.8950 has been challenged and it would be breached to the upside as the bullish energy continues. But it is unlikely that the price would also breach the great resistance level at 0.9000 to the upside; therefore buyers may want to take their profits around that resistance level.

GBP/USD:  The Cable is still facing a big challenge around the price territory at 1.7150. However, the market is expected to go further upwards as a result of the strong northward bias on it. Should this happen, the price would go towards the distribution territory at 1.7200.

USD/JPY:  This is a bull market, and the price ought to go further upwards. Nevertheless, the bullish journey is not without difficulties. As long as the price is above the demand level at 101.50, the bullish outlook is sensible.

EUR/JPY:  This market is not yet attractive, and one may do well to abstain from it until there is a clean directional bias in the market. The EUR is weak and the Yen is also weak, but one must be strong than the other so that a direction can be determined.

Performed by Azeez Mustapha,
Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group



Friday, July 4, 2014

Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (July 7 - 11, 2014)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish  
The recent bias on this pair was bullish, but everything has now gone bearish. It is no longer sensible to seek long trades on this pair because it has failed to break the resistance line at 1.3700 to the upside. In addition, the price has dived by almost 100 pips, trading below the resistance line at 1.3650. The support line at 1.3600 is currently being tested and there is a high probability that it could easily be breached to the downside. Should this become possible, the price may go further downwards to the support line at 1.3550.  

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish  
It should be noted that, although the dominant bias on this currency trading instrument is bearish, the price has been making serious bullish attempts. The bullish attempts are so strong that they threaten the bearish bias. For the bearish bias not to become completely invalid, the rally would need to be rejected at the resistance level of 0.8950. Any movement above that resistance level would render the bearish bias completely invalid, since things would have turned seriously bullish by then. However, it is not likely that the price would be able to cross the great resistance level at 0.9000 to the upside in the long run.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish   
This market has been able to remain bullish, breaking one distribution territory after the other. The price territory at 1.7150 was breached to the upside after much struggle and hesitation which lasted for a few days. The price is now poised to move further upwards, and it may reach another distribution territory at 1.7200 next week.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
The USD/JPY is bullish, although there is now some southward correction in the market. The southward correction cannot render the bullish outlook useless, as long as it does not take the price below the demand level at 101.50. Any movement below the aforementioned demand level would result in clean bearish outlook.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish    
The condition on this cross is very delicate, and one may do well to stay out of the market until there is a convincing directional movement. The price is bullish but the sudden weakness in the EUR makes it illogical to seek long trades at the present. The possibility of the price testing the demand zone at 138.50 cannot be ruled out.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“You want to be paid to trade. Winnings are your payment for taking risk.” – Jos Ross






Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Eddie Lampert: How He Made Billions of Dollars from the Markets

LEARN FROM THE GENERALS OF THE MARKETS - PART 50

“I think one of the best ways to deal with the emotions of trading is to read books by other successful traders.” – Darrin Donnelly

Eddie (Edward) Lampert was born on July 19, 1962, in New York, USA. He got inspiration to trade from his granny who was an avid investor. He used to sit with his granny while checking the performances of certain stocks.

When Eddie’s dad died at a relatively young age, his mom, who used to be a full-time housewife, was forced to look for a job. He himself took up some odd jobs after school hours in order to ease the burden on his mom. Despite juggling school and odd jobs, he attained good grades. He was even able to participate in some extra-curricular activities and won an athlete award. With some effort on his part and financial assistance he received, he obtained a bachelor’s degree in Economics with a first-class degree. That was 1984.

In the same year, he began to work at Goldman Sachs and enjoyed a good career there. He later decided to start his own investment/trading business. One of his respected colleagues warned him against the possibility of failure in his business attempts.

He left that firm anyway; at the risk of failure. He was able to raise about $28,000,000 and he was also introduced to new clients. He founded ESL Investments. He’s also the chairman and CEO of Sears Holdings (SHLD).  His firms have become a huge success, with Lampert himself making a personal income of $1,020,000,000 dollars in the year 2004.  With some worth of $3,800,000,000, he was the richest man in Connecticut. In the year 2006, he made an income of close to $1,500,000,000.

He’s married to Kinga Lampert and they’re blessed with 3 children.

Lessons
These are the lessons that can be learned from Eddie’s life and trading strategies:

  1. Some were inspired or encouraged to start trading by unusual persons. In Eddie’s case, it was his granny that inspired him to start thinking about trading. Oddly enough, I was inspired by my maternal uncle who hasn’t traded before, but who’s seen successful traders. Some were inspired by their dads, friends, and so on. Who’s inspired/encouraged you to start trading?

  1. Once again, your poor background or past shouldn’t stop you from attaining financial freedom now or in future. Eddie’s dad was a lawyer, but his untimely death forced the family to start working hard to survive. Then, the future looked bleak. The fact that Eddie’s dad wasn’t around to pay for his education didn’t stop him from earning a bachelor’s degree at a prestigious school; neither did the fact stop him from becoming a multi-billionaire.

  1. When Eddie Lampert wanted to leave the high-paying job he was doing at Goldman Sachs to found his own business, a colleague of his tried to discourage him. As you know, majority of people think that it’s better to do a job that guarantees a paycheck every week or month, than to rely on the uncertainties of the markets. Never be discouraged in trading. Although, the profession is full of challenges, they can be overcome. Some traders have done this and they’re living testimonies. Unusual people can also tell you to say ‘bye-bye’ to trading and go do something else. I was almost discouraged by someone whose opinions used to matter most to me in the past, but I’m thankful I didn’t go back. It was a big surprise that a well-known founder of a very popular online trading education and information company announced some years ago that it was impossible to attain permanent success in Forex. Wasn’t that very strange, a founder of a very popular Forex website telling people that they couldn’t make it from Forex? The website is still very active. However, that statement shows that some of the so-called experts behind certain trading websites can’t trade successfully on their own; yet they make the public believe that their websites can help people achieve their goals in the markets. Contrary to what “doubting Thomases” think, everlasting success is possible for traders.

  1. Certain individuals have been denouncing Eddie as a bad CEO/investor. In spite of this, he’s a victorious market player. When you become somebody, you’ll have many critics – some of whose criticism would be destructive rather than constructive. No matter what you do, some people will complain. Just let the complainers keep on doing their job while you continue doing your best and succeeding.  

  1. What about Eddie’s investment strategies? He sells things at retail prices and buys them at wholesale prices. The cheaper the prices, the more bullish Eddie would be. He doesn’t also hold too many positions at once: he only holds a few to several positions which have to do with the stocks he understands fully well. Rather than speculating on too many trading instruments that you don’t fully understand, it’s better for you to specialize on trading instruments that you understand very well, even if they’re few.  Over the time, you’ll master them and make money with them.

  1. Eddie believes that long-term performances are better than short-term results.

Conclusion: Common sense is required in trading. This is one of the reasons why a robot cannot make consistent profits indefinitely. There are no perfect trading approaches, for wizards like Eddie lose sometimes. Orders ought to be placed logically, since no-one knows for sure what the market would do next. We all hate negativity, yet experienced traders know that it’s an indispensable part of trading.  We make gains in spite of negativity.

This article is concluded with a quote from Eddie Lampert:

“You can’t wait for an opportunity to become obvious… In investing, you constantly make decisions under conditions of uncertainty.”

Source: www.tallinex.com 

 Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Active Buyers will push Next stock upwards till the end of October 2014

Get prepared for a nice bullish ride on Next stock (LSE:NXT), which may hold out for a few months, bringing satisfactory profits for the buyers. This market has long since been a bull market, punctuated by transitory bearish corrections.

The price has already broken above the upper Trendline, closing above it and trending further upwards. The Trendline itself is a strong hurdle to any strong bearish correction along the way (which will eventually prove abortive, anyway). The RSI period 14 is slightly below 50. Yes, the market is poised for a bullish ride and the price may break more and more resistance levels in the coming months, breaking them to the upside.

We cannot make money from historical data and we cannot make money from the data that is yet to come. What we can do is to attempt to make money from what the price is doing right now, provided it meets our entry criteria.   When a trading condition is met, it does not mean that we must trade anyway. It only means we want to take the trade provided it is sensible enough.

This forecast is ended with the quote below:

“By definition, a trade with a loss to the amount of the planned risk where all the rules have been correctly applied is a flawless trade.” – Dirk Stiller


Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach

Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals


Randgold Resources will rise for the rest of 2014

Randgold Resources shares (LSE:RRS) were bullish at the beginning of this year, before the market was caught in a 3-month correction which lasted until the end of May 2014. Since the beginning of June 2014, the market has been going upwards, and it is expected to continue doing that for the rest of this year.

The correction that occurred from March to May, 2014 merely gave a good opportunity for more bulls to take advantage of the bullish trend would pan out for the rest of this year. In the chart, 4 EMAs are used, and they are EMAs 10, 20, 50 and 200. The color that stands for each EMA is shown at the top left corner of the chart. At the present, the EMAs 10, 20, and 50 are sloping upwards while the price is above them. This is a strong bullish signal.

The EMA 200 provides a strong support for the bull – a morbid opposition to the bears. You may want buy long and hold the shares till around December. An astute speculator has come to terms with the vagaries of the market, and he would not hesitate to smooth his order when things do not go in his direction.  

This forecast is ended with the quote below:

“Your psychological risk appetite fluctuates depending on circumstances — it does not stay at some fixed level in your personality.”  - D. R. Barton, Jr.

Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach

Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals