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Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Tom Hougaard: A Superstar Trader/Investor

LEARN FROM THE GENERALS OF THE MARKETS - PART 52

“I have been taught the emotional pain of large losses when my ego wanted me to trade too big, and the pain of missing a huge move due to fear of entering a trade.” – Steve Burns

Born in 1969, in Denmark, Tom Hougaard later moved to the United Kingdom in 1992, where he obtained BA and MSc in Economics and Finance. He worked at Chase Manhattan Bank, but left the bank in the year 2000 to manage his personal portfolios. After that, he was employed by a brokerage company.

In 2002, he was chief market strategist at city index where he made copious market comments on popular media. He’s also handled trading presentations and written many articles. In 2009, he started a website named “WhichWayToday” (whichwaytoday.com) where he posts premium articles, trading commentaries and runs a live trading room. The performances of the trading room have been very impressive.

Tom is a successful trader who’s been showing others how to make money through his trading room services, articles and others. He owns a website named TraderTom.com. On that website, one would see some wonderful articles that reveal some of the greatest trading truths.

Lessons
These are some of the lessons you can learn from Tom:

1.      One of the fastest ways to make money in the markets is to copy what successful traders are doing, either by social trading or trading rooms services or signals strategies services.

2.      There are money management, trade management, and risk management styles that are at variance with the mainstream ideas; yet they’re successful in the markets.

3.      The extremely popular analytical tools like Fibonacci extension and retracement levels, Gann’s line and grid, Elliot Waves, Andrew Pitchfork and some others are far from being the Holy Grail. In fact, many traders lose money with those popular tools in spite of them being venerated by the so-called gurus. The secrets to success don’t lie in those analytical tools. Rather the secrets to success lie in what most traders can’t do.

4.      Our mind is our enemy! This is true in most critical aspects of life as well as trading. We want good results and we’re very enthusiastic about getting those results. Nevertheless when it comes to facing the realities that have to do with the process of getting those results, we compromise – we even give up. Those who want to start a strict program to lose weight aren’t discipline enough to deny themselves of some things so that they can achieve their goals. Those who need to fast to achieve some spiritual and/or health goals quickly compromise when their body reacts violently to lack of food (we’re addicted to food). Most of us can’t help staying away from foods and habits that are dangerous to our health. We want to go to gym to stay fit, but we’re reluctant to go when the time comes. We know it’s bad to make/receive phone calls while driving, but we can’t resist the temptation. We know what’s good, but we find it more agreeable to do what’s bad. The same is true of trading. We tend to do those things that aren’t in our best interest as traders. We stay away from the markets or even quit trading altogether when we face challenges in the markets; whereas the way we deal with the challenges is what makes the difference between a successful trader and a failure who’s no longer a trader.

We hear sweet talks from those who motivate us to do exploits in life, including the markets, but we can’t follow their recommendations. Tom says: “The chemical boost of imagining the outcome, to say the outcome out loud is essentially all the motivational speakers are facilitating to create success for themselves. Very few of them actually help people, not for the lack of trying, but because of who we human beings are. According to him, motivational talks are good enough to give us the feeling of achievement, but never take us to the full potential. One moment the mind is your friend, and the next moment it is the enemy, standing in the way of you achieving your goal. This is also true of trading.

5.      When the trend changes, one needs to admit that and trade accordingly. It is not logical to think that the market would trend in a direction forever. We should be able to take advantage of the biases in the markets at any time. Great trading instruments must be cheap enough for buyers or expensive enough for sellers.

Conclusion: Tom makes money in bear and bull markets, and you can do the same. It’s worrisome that some traders still dread bear markets, while preferring only bull markets. Bear markets are also great for making money – you simply need to go short. A downtrend is usually accompanied by common dread and worry on the part of the speculator. While this kind of reaction is not a surprise, for the average speculator doesn’t think that the market may go bearish before they actually go bearish. However, instead of staying out of a downtrend, one can employ trading approaches that work in bear markets.

This article is ended with a quote from Tom Hougaard:

“However, the most important lesson I learned was why 99.9% of people fail at reaching their goals in life. We are addicted to pleasure and will avoid pain like the plague.”


Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals


Nike Shares Can Still Go Further Upwards

Nike shares (NYSE:NKE) are in a clean bullish mode amid persistent volatility. The persistent volatility shows the ongoing struggle between the bull and the bears; with the bulls clearly gaining upper hands as the bears continuously fight a losing battle.

Here, 4 EMAs are used and they are EMAs 10, 20, 50 and 200. The color that stands for each EMA is shown at the top left corner of the chart. As you can see, all the EMAs are sloping upwards, supporting the price as it goes northwards. The price is now testing the market level at 81.80. It may break it to the upside, reaching resistance levels at 90.00 and 100.00 within the next several months.

Along the way, the price may be pulled back into the EMAs 10 or 20, but it would go further upwards again into the aforementioned targets.

This forecast is ended by the quote below:

“In its most simple form, the larger time frame on the charts is the secret to successful trading.” – Nick Santiagao

Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach

Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals


Atlas Mara Price Breaks Downwards

Atlas Mara stock (LSE:ATMA) has broken downwards as a result of selling pressure that takes the price below the supply zone at 10.50. This has resulted following a long period of consolidating and very thing market activities.

In the chart, the price breaks below the lower Trendline, coming out from the recent consolidating and very thin market activity. At the same time, the RSI period 14 went into the oversold region. Being below the level 50, the RSI period 14 is still bearish, and irrespective of any normal but fleeting rallies that may be expected, the price can break further downwards towards the demand zones at 9.50 and 8.50 within the next several days or months.

This forecast is ended by the quote below:

“[Brene’ Brown, PhD] says that we must “get into the arena” be willing to embrace the uncertainty and the possibility of failure, in order to be able to experience the exhilaration of success.  The interesting thing about success is that it is very expensive.” – Dr. Woody Johnson

Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach

Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals



Monday, September 8, 2014

Gap Trading Signals on GBP Pairs (September 8 – 22, 2014)


GBPNZD = Sell

GBPUSD = Sell

EURGBP = Buy

GBPCHF = Sell

GBPJPY = Buy

GBPCAD = Buy

GBPAUD = Buy

NB: Every trade could be entered with a stop loss of 100 pips and a take profit of 200 pips. The signals may become too late to be taken after 7.00 AM GMT. Only 0.5% is risked per trade. With an account balance of $20,000, a position size of 0.1 would be used. The trading duration is 2 weeks. The breakeven stop is set after about 70-pip profit is made. A trailing stop of 100 pips is set after over 170 pips have been gained.


Disclaimer: Trading signals are provided for information purposes only and shouldn’t be construed as trading advice.



Learn from the Generals of the Markets: Market Generals

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Daily analysis of major pairs for September 8, 2014

The strength in the USD/CHF has continued, although there was a shallow bearish retracement in the chart on Friday, September 5, 2014. The price closed at 0.9310, and it is expected that it may go further upwards this week.  

EUR/USD:  The EUR/USD trended southward in a significant mode last week. This trend has a high probability of continuing this week, but the possibility of rally attempts cannot be ruled out. The attempted rallies may cause the price to reach the resistance lines at 1.3050 and 1.3100 successively.


USD/CHF: The strength in the USD/CHF has continued, although there was a shallow bearish retracement in the chart on Friday, September 5, 2014. The price closed at 0.9310, and it is expected that it may go further upwards this week.  It may reach the supply level at 0.9350.

GBP/USD: The Cable also dived significantly last week – in a clean positive correlation with its EUR/USD counterpart. The dive might continue this week, taking the price towards the accumulation territory at 1.6250. Meanwhile, the distribution territories at 1.6400 and 1.6450 ought to act as barriers to the bulls’ machinations along the way.

USD/JPY:  The USD/JPY has always been making bullish effort in recent times, with a measure of success. Since the model used in this analysis gave a ‘buy’ signal on August 11, 2014, the price has gone upwards by around 300 pips. The trend may not yet be over, for the price might test the supply level at 106.00 this week.

EUR/JPY:  The massive sell-off that happened on this cross last week has resulted in a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart. The weakness may likely continue, taking the price towards the demand levels at 135.50 and 135.00. However, it would take far more weakness in the EUR to accomplish it. Should the EUR recovers from its present weakness, the trend might change. 

Performed by Azeez Mustapha,
Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group