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Friday, October 7, 2011

Weekly Trading Update (October 7, 2011)

“There are no formulas, no strict parameters -- just trading what you see… In truth, it would be a lot easier to let the charts tell the story.” – Joe Ross

Hello:

This is an update on some of the movements on the markets and what I’m doing about them, plus my losses and profits. The analyses are based on 4-hour charts, looking at the trend. My preferred leverage is 1:100 and my position size is 0.01 lots for each $2000. The risk per trade stands at 0.5%. The Stops are my life insurance policy. I use the Price Behavior rules for strategic decisions and customized indicators for tactical entries. I believe that a ‘buy’ signal that fails is a ‘sell’ signal; and a ‘sell’ signal that fails is a ‘buy’ signal. I open primary positions with a risk-to-reward of 1:3, riding the trend until the target is hit or I’m stopped out. The value of patience will forever be emphasized. As long as I stick to my rules and keep my risk low, I’m immune to fear.

The more trading signals there are, the more possible there’ll be trend continuation in the near time. When the markets move perpetually in a southbound mode but with weak bearish force, speculators would merely not be inclined to purchase substantial amounts of positions, and the bears would constantly manipulate the markets to the downside. In a nutshell, a resistance level that’s getting stronger would be gaining more significance than the nearby support level while this fact continues to drive down the markets. This logic should be reserved for the bull markets.

Below is the summary of some of my trading activities this week.

AUDUSD

Primary Trend: Bearish

The kind of behavior exhibited by this pair still continues this week. There are a series of bearish moves, followed by rallies which give nice opportunities to sell dearly. I was looking forward to selling at 0.9700.

NZDUSD

Primary trend: Bearish

The outlook for the USDNZD is similar to that of the AUDUSD. Some candles here are long. A long candle with no wicks tells us that even though traders are in a profitable position, they are not willing to take profits yet. This usually means that the move still has some life left in it.

AUDNZD

Primary trend: Bullish

The current bullish outlook is gravely precarious. There are times when this cross would be caught in a long-term, predictable trend. But at this time, it’s currently difficult to trade. The rally that started last week was followed by a downward move of about 250 pips.

EURCAD

Primary trend: Bullish

Like the AUDNZD, the new bullish outlook on the pair has quickly been made unsafe. A new southbound price movement has resumed, and would continue lower if the support at 1.3800 is broken. This might make me enter short with stop loss adaptation afterwards.

EURNZD

Primary trend: Bullish

The EUR has proven to be stronger than the NZD. The SMA 50 is above the SMA 200 while the price is moving along the former. The ADX 20 has fallen below the level 20 as a result of a sideways market. -DI remains above +DI, as a result of what seems to be a pullback. It’s not sensible to take any position on this instrument right now.

GBPCHF

Primary trend: Bullish

The market price on this instrument has slowly – but steadily – journeyed upwards. But it encountered some resistance levels at 1.4250 – 1.4300 region, which resulted in correction. It’s more likely that the price would go up. Certain analysts have been bullish on this cross in recent times.

Conclusion: I use unusual pairs/crosses in my analyses because they tend to move faster and in more predictable manner than popular pairs/crosses. The majors tend to be more difficult to trade, holding out in defiance of your expectation and shooting upwards or downwards when you least expect. This is also true of the Big Picture. Once again, the unusual pairs/crosses are prone to trend better and longer than major pairs/crosses.

I’d like to conclude this article with quotes from Ed Ponsi:

1. “Sometimes, you have to make the mistake and feel the pain in order to learn the lesson. For instance, in my early days, I held onto and averaged into losing trades – classic bad trading behavior. I got away with it for a while, but the reality that what you are doing is incorrect never really hits home until you feel some pain. That is when you decide, “I will never make that mistake again.”

2. I was not exposed to currencies until I began working on Wall Street. My style of equity trading was based on trends, using a top-down analysis. Someone pointed out that as a trend-follower, currencies would be perfectly suited to my trading style. The Forex market featured fantastic long-term trends, behaved more rationally than equities, and offered plenty of volatility, which traders need to make money.”

Your questions and opinions are highly welcome.

Thank you.

With best regards,

Azeez Mustapha

Forex Signals Strategist, Funds Manager &Coach

Senior Analyst

FX Instructor, LLC

Email: amustapha@fxinstructor.com

Are you facing any challenges in trading? You might want to explore the secrets of markets wizards and duplicate their success. Get the secrets from my past articles at:

www.fxinstructor.com/blog/author/amustapha

www.fxinstructor.com/blog

Get my Forex trading signals at: http://www.fxinstructor.com/en/analytics/ituglobal

And my past articles are also available at: www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com

Yahoo! Messenger ID: saazalmu

If you want my coming trading articles delivered directly into your inbox (I don’t support spamming in any way), you can send me an email titled “Request for Trading Articles.”

NB: There is risk of loss in trading, but it is possible to be a successful trader.

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Advanced Gap Trading

TRADING WITH INSANE ACCURACY

“Never move your stop away from your entry level if the trend is moving against you. The market won’t disappear if you get it wrong, but you will.” – Paul Day

Hello:

Sometimes a gap may be filled and sometimes it mayn’t be filled. Once a gap occurred, the market may later turn contrary to the direction of the gap and move fast for the rest of the week, and vice versa (which means the market may also continue in the direction of the gap and trend nicely for the rest of the week). What you need is the ability to identify the right market direction and take advantage of it. This is the reason behind the strategy discussed in this article. It’s a new and advanced gap trading method - yet simpler and more effective. It makes you stay in the right direction of the market after a gap occurred; whether it got filled or not. Moreover, gaps are no longer traded exclusively off the hourly charts; they’re now traded off 30-minute charts and 4-hour charts. This ensures that we don’t need to wait for weeks, looking for gaps on hourly charts, for the lower and the higher timeframes also have trading opportunities.

Why these settings work, I don’t know nor do I really care. When you find something that works, stay with it.

A long and prosperous career as a trader depends on the ability to be on the right side of a trend. Wise traders stack the probabilities in their favor by only trading trending markets. Strictly speaking, trading in trend markets should only be done in the direction of the prevailing trend, i.e. in long markets only long and vice versa. This could be the beginning of your financial freedom.

Strategy Snapshot

Strategy Name: Advanced Gap Trading

Time Horizon: 30-minute, hourly, and 4-hour charts

Indicator: RSI, parameters customized

Trading orders duration: Maximum of 2 weeks

Average monthly signals: About 30 trades per month

Number of pairs and crosses: 23

Performance: An average of 1000 pips (one thousand pips) per month. This can only improve more!

As far as the strategy discussed here is concerned, there may be other relevant questions in the mind of potential and existing subscribers. Some of the questions are answered below.

When do you place a trade?

Answer: New trades are usually placed on a Monday, at the close of the New York Session

Do you go long or short?

Answer: I go long when the RSI is above our customized level and go short when it’s below the customized level. It should be noted that, as a rule, downward trend occurs much faster than upward trends. That’s the case in all markets. I judge the market to be neutral when the RSI is neither above nor below our customized level. I’d not enter a market that shows some degree of neutrality.

What’s your position sizing?

Answer: I use 0.01 lots for each $2000 (therefore making it 0.05 lots for each $10,000 and 0.1 lots for each $20,000). Always be cognizant of your position size and focus on how much you can potentially lose on a trade instead of simply focusing on the profit.

Where do you place your protective stop?

Answer: The stop is placed at 100 pips away from the entry price. The initial stop is absolutely vital and must not be altered or widened under any circumstances.

When do you move your protective stop?

Answer: The protective stop is moved to breakeven when about 70 pips or above have been made, plus about 100 pips can be locked if the profit goes up to 180 pips or above.

What’s the correct entry price?

Answer: For a trend follower, an order is placed when there’s a confirmation of the trend. There’s no correct entry price, though some price levels have better chances of turning the odds in our favor. A trend may continue when you think it’s gone too far; and what you judge as a correction may be the beginning of a new trend. Even the acclaimed psychological levels aren’t a guarantee that the price would move in your favor or against you. You can’t get more than a long-term 50/50 chance of winning or losing. So the only way you move ahead is to use a sensible risk-to-reward ratio.

What type of entry order do you use?

Answer: Instant executions.

When do you take profit?

Answer: A profits is taken when the Take Profit level is hit or when the Trailing Stop is hit or when the maximum trading duration has expired.

Taking Advantage of the Strategy

This strategy is another example which shows that you don’t need a complicated trading system to make consistent profit from the markets. Below is the login detail of the account on which this trading idea is practiced. My existing clients have this account details with them, and you can have it too. This gives you the opportunity to see how I place trades live so that you can do so accordingly.

Account Details

Broker: FX Clearing

Platform: MT4

Server: Demo

Initial deposit: $10,000

Login: 1001084791

Investor’s password: You can get it by joining me at: http://www.fxinstructor.com/en/analytics/ituglobal

Besides their overall concern for Forex traders, the team at FXInstructor.com has constantly demonstrated an intense interest in an individual trader who signs up for their services. This team has prepared many mentorship services to help new and advanced traders. Time-tested trading principles have been incorporated into these services. Do yourself a favor by signing up for their services.

This article is ended with another quote from Paul Day:

“Many traders enter positions with a scary risk-to-reward ratio, causing them to frequently risk more than they can actually win. In fact, many traders trade emotionally without thinking of a stop loss at all. And that’s exactly the beginning of the end.”

______________________________________________________________________

NB: Please watch out for my coming articles with these titles: ‘Unleash the Power of Everlasting Triumph in the Markets (Parts 1 - 12),’ ‘How to Handle Uncertainties in the Markets,’ ‘The Issue of Stops (Come Back! Oh Come Back!),’ ‘Another EURUSD-USDCHF Correlation Strategy,’ ‘Experiment with Different Exit Tactics,’ ‘Mastering the Market Equilibrium Zones – A Time-sensitive Method,’ ‘How I Apply Risk Management – Part 3,’ ‘A Simple Positive Expectancy System – Trading Effortlessly,’ ‘Testimonies from My Subscribers,’ ‘Excellent Money Management Flexibility – Make the Best Choice!’ ‘Resist the Lure of High Risk – Part 3’ ‘Worst-case Scenarios – Facts Are Sacred,’ ‘Effective Swing Trading in Forex,’ ‘Gap Trading Revisited,’ ‘3 Recent Gap Trades,’ ‘Developing the Right Attitude towards Losses – Part 4 (Losses Aren’t Abnormal) ,’ ‘The True Holy Grail – The Long Sought for,’ ‘Suicide Trading Techniques,’ ‘Forex Trading Vocabulary,’ ‘ Clarifying Some Issues – Part 5,’ ‘Optimization of the USDCAD Hedging Strategy – Bringing the USDCAD to Subjection,’ ‘Overview of My Signals Strategies,’ ‘The Cost of Discipline,’ ‘Monthly Market Review,’ ‘Uncertainty Has Become My Ally – An Interview with a Dogged Market Speculator,’ ‘2 Examples of the USDCAD Hedging Trades,’ ‘Is It Realistic to Give Guarantees in Trading?’ ‘Monthly Trading Report (Augsut 2011),’ etc.

Thursday, September 29, 2011

Weekly Trading Update (September 30, 2011)

“Trading is a great equalizer. You don’t have to hold a PhD or an MBA to trade for a living. There are traders who are consistently successful, year after year. Nobody can stop you if you put your mind to it.” – Ed Ponsi

Hello:

Unfortunately, normal business rules don’t apply to successful trading. A top banker once told me that one of the aims of the banking industry is to maximize profits. Well, this is wrong in trading: one of the aims of successful trading is to minimize risk by safe position sizing. Trying to maximize risk in trading, using big position sizing, is like trying to maximize one’s chances of financial disaster. Irrespective of how great you’re in other professions, the financial markets have their own peculiar principles – and each trader would learn the principles, whether through their own experience or through others’ experience. Those who implement sagacious business methods in other professions successfully may discover that errors would be committed and negativity would be sustained in trading. This is sure. It helps to be constantly aware of one’s limitations and never overreact should negativity be sustained. Make your aims modest whenever you’re trading. You must be realistic, targeting small and consistent profits. You’d survive on a long-term basis only if you risk as low as possible. If you keep your risk low, you’ll be a victor.

Below is the summary of some of my trading activities this week.

AUDUSD

Primary Trend: Bearish

This week, the AUDUSD pair experienced a temporary bullish rally in the context of a downtrend. This kind of price movement provided swing traders with an opportunity to sell higher.

NZDUSD

Primary trend: Bearish

What’s happened on the AUDUSD is also true of the NZDUSD. You should’ve sold short to a novice trader who bought after a bullish correction in price and in the context of a downtrend. Yes, both the AUDUSD and the NZDUSD are positively correlated. But sometimes, correlation fails when you’re counting on it the most.

AUDNZD

Primary trend: Bearish

Since the Kiwi and the Aussie are similarly correlated right now, the AUDNZD is in a ranging mode. On this cross, the forces of supply and demand must go out of balance for the price to stop ranging. It’s good to stay out of this market and wait for the next major move.

EURCAD

Primary trend: Bearish

The primary bearish outlook on this instrument has been seriously violated. If there’s a continuation of the present scenario for a few more days, the primary trend would turn bullish. There’s been a northward breakout from the consolidation that started last week – something that may result in a big move. At the present, I’ve 200 pips from this breakout, plus the risk on the trade was removed by a breakeven. Big moves in one market amplify correlation between other markets, and vice versa.

EURNZD

Primary trend: Bearish

In this market, the long-term bearish trend seems to have been rendered invalid. But the domination of the bulls must continue for a few more days before the primary trend turns bullish. The price is above the SMA 200, while the SMA 50 is attempting to cross the SMA 200 to the upside. The ADX 20 fell below the level 30 as a result of a previous correction, but now points towards the level 30. +DI remains above –DI, pointing upwards as well. This signifies a rising bullish pressure.

GBPCHF

Primary trend: Bullish

The price of the GBPCHF is trying to pull back, though the underlying trend is bullish. With this view, the price movement is still range bound. One way of handling this situation is to buy a pullback, more preferably at a strong support level. Yet, market conditions remain uncertain.

Conclusion: Millions of people the world over have chosen the business of trading as a new career. It just happened that they ultimately ended up in this exciting industry. Ken Long is one of such people. He added trading to his other careers. He’s now a market wizard and a blessing to those who’re willing to learn from him. Please let me conclude this article with some quotes from him. They have to do with trading facts.

1. “A short-term trader who has plenty of opportunities is better off taking five positions at 1% risk per position than a single position at 5% risk no matter how he decides to rank order the signals by quality.”

2. “The greater the number of trials in the sample size, the greater your chance of achieving the average expected return of a positive expectancy system. There is a natural tendency among traders to try to concentrate their capital on what they consider to be the best trade available. However, if your system is generating multiple signals, you are better off taking all of the signals at reduced risk, provided that you have done your back-testing work and admin costs of trading are low.”

Your questions and opinions are highly welcome.

Thank you.

With best regards,

Azeez Mustapha

Forex Signals Strategist, Funds Manager &Coach

Senior Analyst

FX Instructor, LLC

Email: amustapha@fxinstructor.com

Are you facing any challenges in trading? You might want to explore the secrets of markets wizards and duplicate their success. Get the secrets from my past articles at:

www.fxinstructor.com/blog/author/amustapha

www.fxinstructor.com/blog

Get my Forex trading signals at: http://www.fxinstructor.com/en/analytics/ituglobal

And my past articles are also available at: www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com

Yahoo! Messenger ID: saazalmu

If you want my coming trading articles delivered directly into your inbox (I don’t support spamming in any way), you can send me an email titled “Request for Trading Articles.”

NB: There is risk of loss in trading, but it is possible to be a successful trader.

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Increase Your Odds Of Success Through A Sensible RRR

AN INTERVIEW WITH A TRADING ENTHUSIAST

Hello:

It’s common for interviewers to look only for popular traders to feature. Trading success isn’t the birthright of famous, institutional or billionaire traders alone. There are many unknown traders who’re also successful in their own world – whether they’re trading in their bedroom or they’re using a micro account. A humble trader who doesn’t seek popularity may have intriguing tips or lessons to pass across (something that can benefit trading enthusiasts out there). This article features an interview with a humble but successful private trader who makes consistent profits from the currency markets. His name is Iheuwaneme Davies.

Azeez: Please tell us your background.

I. Davies: I’m a civil engineer. I’ve taken part – and of course I still take part – in construction of individual houses, estates, public infrastructure, institutions, churches and universities. Civil engineering has lots of challenges, but over decades I’ve learned how to deal with those challenges. This is a wealth of experience that has helped me greatly in trading. I’m also a husband and a father.

Azeez: How did you become a Forex trader?

I. Davies: Just a couple of years ago, there was too much hype about Forex trading. There were posters, seminars, radio jingles and lots of noise about Forex and the benefits it can bring. In those days people thought that Forex was a get-rich-quick scheme. I wanted to be part of this apparent new income generation opportunity. I like new ideas and challenges. I saw Forex as a vehicle needed to keep me productive and keep giving me some income after I’m retired. In the end, my employers will ask me to go and that’s why I chose Forex as a good alternative or addition to my present job. Unfortunately, I started on a wrong road.

Azeez: What was the wrong road?

I. Davies: I first attended a one-day seminar at a media house, having been told that the seminar was all I needed to become successful. A margin call which I got on a demo account was enough to notify me that I was completely hopeless at trading. Then I arranged for further training. My trainer turned out to be someone who relied on robots alone since he couldn’t trade successfully on his own. I heard many tales of woes from those whose funds were wiped out by robots. My saving grace was that I stuck to demos only at this time because I didn’t depend on trading for my livelihood. Certain novices didn’t have this kind of luck. I later discovered that a vast majority of those who were making noise about Forex – doing seminars, coaching people or selling trading systems and robots were novices who were later proven wrong by the markets. Most of them didn’t have deep knowledge about trading. Some who seemed to have deep knowledge about trading had no long-term profits to prove their expertise. Myriads of people know about Forex, but consistently successful traders are a scarce commodity. Nobody mentioned risk management. I didn’t know that something like that exists in trading until 3 years later. Everybody was talking about profits and great wealth; no-one talked about risk management. Many people didn’t know what they were doing. Now, most of those people have stopped talking about Forex. Some don’t even want to hear of it again.

Azeez: Then how did you arrive at success in trading?

I. Davies: A hidden treasure won’t jump out of its hiding place and deposit itself into idle hands. One has to put forth effort to find it. I decided I’d never give up. I saw that trading is real. If it’s real, then there must be principles that work in it. My employers will soon ask me to stop coming to work because I’m close to the age of retirement. I don’t want to be redundant after retirement. I want to keep busy with something that can stimulate me. I began to search for the secret of success in trading. I wanted to know the truth and make it work for me. As a result of some frantic effort, I discovered the secret. I’ve been liberated by the secret and my life was transformed.

Azeez: Please brief us the secret?

I. Davies: What works in trading is an open secret which is, however, difficult for most traders to accept. The secret is repeated here:

1. Find a strategy that works and practice with it until it becomes second nature.

2. Use a risk-to reward ratio of at least 1:2.

3. Use very small lot sizes.

4. Cut your loss and run your profit.

5. You must be disciplined enough to follow your trading rules no matter what.

With very small lot sizes, you can experience many losses in a row without disheartening drawdowns on your account. When I place trades, those who’d not go in my favor would hit my stops instantly or later. Those who’d go in my favor would continue to develop in my direction, whether quickly or slowly. In the long-run, the profitable trades would add up, recover my losses and eventually add more profits to my account balance. One of your favorite principles should be to increase your odds of success through a sensible RRR. I also believe that you must be an amateur psychologist if you want to be successful in trading. Emotions of confidence, fear, greed and hope must be put in proper perspective. If you’re looking for a magic formula apart from the principles that are listed here, God help you!

Azeez: Could you tell us how you came across this secret?

I. Davies: I told you that I was first trained at a media house and later by an individual, who, I regret to say (as I discovered later), didn’t know what he himself was doing. I just knew that I was not yet a competent trader. My trading results were very much terrible. I was later introduced to a certain coach who has gotten some international fame. He explained to me what trading was really all about; in a totally different way. He introduced me to the principles I mentioned above. Since then, I’ve experienced breakthrough in my trading career. It’s unfortunate that majority of traders started their careers with the so-called trainers who themselves really need help. Those who started with the right education are extremely lucky.

Azeez: What now do you still find challenging in trading, and what do you find rewarding in it?

I. Davies: Before I discovered that without loss there can’t be profit, I used to get discouraged by loss. Now I’m no longer bothered by loss, even if all my open trades go against me. Sometimes, all or most of my open trades will go in my favor. Such is trading! During my novice years, I used to abandon a strategy that was in a losing streak, though the strategy worked well in the past. If I gained, say 35% or 50% returns with a strategy, I’d abandon it after I lost more than half of the returns. After I was convinced there’s no magic system, I stopped searching for what doesn’t exist and focused on risk control. Now, I think the key is to minimize losses in a losing streak. I won’t abandon my good strategy because of a losing streak. If I gain 25% profit with a strategy, I won’t abandon it because the profit is reduced to 15%. I’ll just make sure that I don’t lose too much during a losing streak. I know a winning streak is around the corner. The remaining 15% profit might be raised back to 35% when a winning streak comes around. The modest gains I get in trading are the satisfaction I feel whenever I remember I’m the master of my fate in the currency markets. I’ve found a real purpose in trading. I’m also rewarded by the long-term profit I make. I can now be retired with less anxiety. My knowing that trading can bring great rewards gives me a sound hope for the future.

Azeez: How do you apply risk management?

I. Davies: Before opening a trade, I make sure my lot size is very small. Then I use stop loss, take profit, breakeven and trailing stop to control risk. There are optimum parameters for these features, based on your strategy, trading style and timeframe. But I’d say that your risk control parameters shouldn’t be so tight so as to cause premature exits, and they shouldn’t be too wide so as to cause too much exposure.

Azeez: If risk management is that simple, how come some traders find it difficult to apply?

I. Davies: Gamblers think trading is as easy as hitting the ‘buy’ and the ‘sell’ button. They can’t imagine being in protracted training or using a small lot size, for that’s against their inordinate ambitions. They feel the trade they’re about to open must go in their favor because it has met their entry conditions. They don’t use stop loss because they think it unnecessarily stops them out of a trade that could potentially turn around and become a winner. Why would a gambler settle for 40% per annum when a marketer is promising them 50% - 100% per month? Disciplined traders have managed to get rid of this gambler’s fallacy.

Azeez: What kind of a trader are you?

I. Davies: I use a mechanical trading system, yet there must be some traces of discretion in what every winning trader does. I’m presently trading on a part-time basis, and therefore use daily charts for my analyses. Beginner traders tend to use smaller timeframes: its only lots of trading experience that can turn one into a long-term trader – using longer time horizons.

Azeez: What’s your trading approach?

I. Davies: I’m a trend follower. You can be surprised that I use common indicators like Moving Averages, Stochastic, and Relative Strength Index. The RSI is used to help in trend-following. I’m very good at candlesticks analysis, so I use it also in making decisions in the markets. I’m not good at trading news: I trade only what I see on the charts and I’m successful with that. I just need to trade what I see. For example, the Stochastic Oscillator may be in overbought region while an uptrend is intact. Ultimately, my trading system isn’t the secret of my success, as it’s true of all other systems. Trading systems aren’t the key, money/risk management is.

Azeez: What are your favorite pairs and crosses?

I. Davies: Some of them are GBPJPY, EURJPY, AUDUSD, EURCHF, GBPCHF and EURGBP. I like them because they’re prone to trend very well.

Azeez: On average, how many trades do you place per week? What’s your average performance per week?

I. Davies: I may place up to 8 trades per week providing that the markets are trending well that week. I also use pending orders to catch a new trend whichever way it goes. My monthly performance is around 2% - 5%.

Azeez: What was your biggest loss?

I. Davies: As I mentioned earlier, my biggest loss happened when I was still a novice. In those days, I used to feel bad after a loss. But now, due to a lot of experience in trading, losses don’t make any difference to me. A losing streak is temporary, and there’s nothing in this world that isn’t temporary. Just make sure you don’t suffer big drawdowns in a losing streak.

Azeez: What do you have to say to encourage those who’re still facing challenges in trading?

I. Davies: Be aware of your past mistakes, but try not to dwell on them. In trading, even a widely held idea can be false. One can remain a novice for many years. Still, you might hesitate to change your wrong beliefs, especially if you’ve held them for a long time. While correct trading principles can help every trader, I know that many traders won’t follow them. Maybe you learned about trading before without feeling that you’ve benefited from what you learned. If so, don’t give up. Trying to trade successfully when you’ve been taught wrong principles is like trying to assemble a puzzle using a wrong picture as a reference. You might put a few pieces together correctly but then give up in frustration when these don’t match the overall picture you were given. Start with the right picture, though, and the pieces will fall into place. Learning the truth about trading is more than intellectual exercise – it can change your life for the better. Similarly, taking risk management serious can help you gain serenity and peace of mind in an uncertain market.

Azeez: Engineer Davies, thank you very much for sharing your trading thoughts with us. We wish you the best of luck and success for the future.

NB: Please watch out for my coming articles with these titles: ‘Another EURUSD-USDCHF Correlation Strategy,’ ‘Experiment with Different Exit Tactics,’ ‘Mastering the Market Equilibrium Zones – A Time-sensitive Method,’ ‘How I Apply Risk Management – Part 3,’ ‘A Simple RRR – Trading Effortlessly,’ ‘Testimonies from My Subscribers,’ ‘Excellent Money Management Flexibility – Make the Best Choice!’ ‘Resist the Lure of High Risk – Part 3’ ‘Worst-case Scenarios – Facts Are Sacred,’ ‘Effective Swing Trading in Forex,’ ‘Advanced Gap Trading – Trading with Insane Accuracy,’ ‘3 Recent Gap Trades,’ ‘Developing the Right Attitude towards Losses - Part 4 (Losses Aren’t Abnormal) ,’ ‘The True Holy Grail – The Long Sought for,’ ‘Suicide Trading Techniques,’ ‘ Clarifying Some Issues – Part 5,’ ‘Optimization of the USDCAD Hedging Strategy – Bringing the USDCAD to Subjection,’ ‘Overview of My Signals Strategies,’ ‘The Cost of Discipline,’ ‘Monthly Market Review,’ ‘Uncertainty Has Become My Ally – An Interview with a Dogged Market Speculator,’ ‘2 Examples of the USDCAD Hedging Trades,’ ‘Is It Realistic to Give Guarantees in Trading?’ ‘Monthly Trading Report (Augsut 2011),’ etc.

Your questions and opinions are highly welcome.

Thank you.

With best regards,

Azeez Mustapha

Forex Signals Strategist, Funds Manager &Coach

Senior Analyst

FX Instructor, LLC

Email: amustapha@fxinstructor.com

Yahoo! Messenger ID: saazalmu

Are you facing any challenges in trading? You might want to explore the secrets of markets wizards and duplicate their success. Get the secrets from my past articles at:

www.fxinstructor.com/blog/author/amustapha

www.fxinstructor.com/blog

Get my Forex trading signals at: http://www.fxinstructor.com/en/analytics/ituglobal

And my past articles are also available at: www.ituglobalforex.blogspot.com

AN INTERVIEW WITH A TRADING ENTHUSIAST

Hello:

It’s common for interviewers to look only for popular traders to feature. Trading success isn’t the birthright of famous, institutional or billionaire traders alone. There are many unknown traders who’re also successful in their own world – whether they’re trading in their bedroom or they’re using a micro account. A humble trader who doesn’t seek popularity may have intriguing tips or lessons to pass across (something that can benefit trading enthusiasts out there). This article features an interview with a humble but successful private trader who makes consistent profits from the currency markets. His name is Iheuwaneme Davies.

Azeez: Please tell us your background.

I. Davies: I’m a civil engineer. I’ve taken part – and of course I still take part – in construction of individual houses, estates, public infrastructure, institutions, churches and universities. Civil engineering has lots of challenges, but over decades I’ve learned how to deal with those challenges. This is a wealth of experience that has helped me greatly in trading. I’m also a husband and a father.

Azeez: How did you become a Forex trader?

I. Davies: Just a couple of years ago, there was too much hype about Forex trading. There were posters, seminars, radio jingles and lots of noise about Forex and the benefits it can bring. In those days people thought that Forex was a get-rich-quick scheme. I wanted to be part of this apparent new income generation opportunity. I like new ideas and challenges. I saw Forex as a vehicle needed to keep me productive and keep giving me some income after I’m retired. In the end, my employers will ask me to go and that’s why I chose Forex as a good alternative or addition to my present job. Unfortunately, I started on a wrong road.

Azeez: What was the wrong road?

I. Davies: I first attended a one-day seminar at a media house, having been told that the seminar was all I needed to become successful. A margin call which I got on a demo account was enough to notify me that I was completely hopeless at trading. Then I arranged for further training. My trainer turned out to be someone who relied on robots alone since he couldn’t trade successfully on his own. I heard many tales of woes from those whose funds were wiped out by robots. My saving grace was that I stuck to demos only at this time because I didn’t depend on trading for my livelihood. Certain novices didn’t have this kind of luck. I later discovered that a vast majority of those who were making noise about Forex – doing seminars, coaching people or selling trading systems and robots were novices who were later proven wrong by the markets. Most of them didn’t have deep knowledge about trading. Some who seemed to have deep knowledge about trading had no long-term profits to prove their expertise. Myriads of people know about Forex, but consistently successful traders are a scarce commodity. Nobody mentioned risk management. I didn’t know that something like that exists in trading until 3 years later. Everybody was talking about profits and great wealth; no-one talked about risk management. Many people didn’t know what they were doing. Now, most of those people have stopped talking about Forex. Some don’t even want to hear of it again.

Azeez: Then how did you arrive at success in trading?

I. Davies: A hidden treasure won’t jump out of its hiding place and deposit itself into idle hands. One has to put forth effort to find it. I decided I’d never give up. I saw that trading is real. If it’s real, then there must be principles that work in it. My employers will soon ask me to stop coming to work because I’m close to the age of retirement. I don’t want to be redundant after retirement. I want to keep busy with something that can stimulate me. I began to search for the secret of success in trading. I wanted to know the truth and make it work for me. As a result of some frantic effort, I discovered the secret. I’ve been liberated by the secret and my life was transformed.

Azeez: Please brief us the secret?

I. Davies: What works in trading is an open secret which is, however, difficult for most traders to accept. The secret is repeated here:

1. Find a strategy that works and practice with it until it becomes second nature.

2. Use a risk-to reward ratio of at least 1:2.

3. Use very small lot sizes.

4. Cut your loss and run your profit.

5. You must be disciplined enough to follow your trading rules no matter what.

With very small lot sizes, you can experience many losses in a row without disheartening drawdowns on your account. When I place trades, those who’d not go in my favor would hit my stops instantly or later. Those who’d go in my favor would continue to develop in my direction, whether quickly or slowly. In the long-run, the profitable trades would add up, recover my losses and eventually add more profits to my account balance. One of your favorite principles should be to increase your odds of success through a sensible RRR. I also believe that you must be an amateur psychologist if you want to be successful in trading. Emotions of confidence, fear, greed and hope must be put in proper perspective. If you’re looking for a magic formula apart from the principles that are listed here, God help you!

Azeez: Could you tell us how you came across this secret?

I. Davies: I told you that I was first trained at a media house and later by an individual, who, I regret to say (as I discovered later), didn’t know what he himself was doing. I just knew that I was not yet a competent trader. My trading results were very much terrible. I was later introduced to a certain coach who has gotten some international fame. He explained to me what trading was really all about; in a totally different way. He introduced me to the principles I mentioned above. Since then, I’ve experienced breakthrough in my trading career. It’s unfortunate that majority of traders started their careers with the so-called trainers who themselves really need help. Those who started with the right education are extremely lucky.

Azeez: What now do you still find challenging in trading, and what do you find rewarding in it?

I. Davies: Before I discovered that without loss there can’t be profit, I used to get discouraged by loss. Now I’m no longer bothered by loss, even if all my open trades go against me. Sometimes, all or most of my open trades will go in my favor. Such is trading! During my novice years, I used to abandon a strategy that was in a losing streak, though the strategy worked well in the past. If I gained, say 35% or 50% returns with a strategy, I’d abandon it after I lost more than half of the returns. After I was convinced there’s no magic system, I stopped searching for what doesn’t exist and focused on risk control. Now, I think the key is to minimize losses in a losing streak. I won’t abandon my good strategy because of a losing streak. If I gain 25% profit with a strategy, I won’t abandon it because the profit is reduced to 15%. I’ll just make sure that I don’t lose too much during a losing streak. I know a winning streak is around the corner. The remaining 15% profit might be raised back to 35% when a winning streak comes around. The modest gains I get in trading are the satisfaction I feel whenever I remember I’m the master of my fate in the currency markets. I’ve found a real purpose in trading. I’m also rewarded by the long-term profit I make. I can now be retired with less anxiety. My knowing that trading can bring great rewards gives me a sound hope for the future.

Azeez: How do you apply risk management?

I. Davies: Before opening a trade, I make sure my lot size is very small. Then I use stop loss, take profit, breakeven and trailing stop to control risk. There are optimum parameters for these features, based on your strategy, trading style and timeframe. But I’d say that your risk control parameters shouldn’t be so tight so as to cause premature exits, and they shouldn’t be too wide so as to cause too much exposure.

Azeez: If risk management is that simple, how come some traders find it difficult to apply?

I. Davies: Gamblers think trading is as easy as hitting the ‘buy’ and the ‘sell’ button. They can’t imagine being in protracted training or using a small lot size, for that’s against their inordinate ambitions. They feel the trade they’re about to open must go in their favor because it has met their entry conditions. They don’t use stop loss because they think it unnecessarily stops them out of a trade that could potentially turn around and become a winner. Why would a gambler settle for 40% per annum when a marketer is promising them 50% - 100% per month? Disciplined traders have managed to get rid of this gambler’s fallacy.

Azeez: What kind of a trader are you?

I. Davies: I use a mechanical trading system, yet there must be some traces of discretion in what every winning trader does. I’m presently trading on a part-time basis, and therefore use daily charts for my analyses. Beginner traders tend to use smaller timeframes: its only lots of trading experience that can turn one into a long-term trader – using longer time horizons.

Azeez: What’s your trading approach?

I. Davies: I’m a trend follower. You can be surprised that I use common indicators like Moving Averages, Stochastic, and Relative Strength Index. The RSI is used to help in trend-following. I’m very good at candlesticks analysis, so I use it also in making decisions in the markets. I’m not good at trading news: I trade only what I see on the charts and I’m successful with that. I just need to trade what I see. For example, the Stochastic Oscillator may be in overbought region while an uptrend is intact. Ultimately, my trading system isn’t the secret of my success, as it’s true of all other systems. Trading systems aren’t the key, money/risk management is.

Azeez: What are your favorite pairs and crosses?

I. Davies: Some of them are GBPJPY, EURJPY, AUDUSD, EURCHF, GBPCHF and EURGBP. I like them because they’re prone to trend very well.

Azeez: On average, how many trades do you place per week? What’s your average performance per week?

I. Davies: I may place up to 8 trades per week providing that the markets are trending well that week. I also use pending orders to catch a new trend whichever way it goes. My monthly performance is around 2% - 5%.

Azeez: What was your biggest loss?

I. Davies: As I mentioned earlier, my biggest loss happened when I was still a novice. In those days, I used to feel bad after a loss. But now, due to a lot of experience in trading, losses don’t make any difference to me. A losing streak is temporary, and there’s nothing in this world that isn’t temporary. Just make sure you don’t suffer big drawdowns in a losing streak.

Azeez: What do you have to say to encourage those who’re still facing challenges in trading?

I. Davies: Be aware of your past mistakes, but try not to dwell on them. In trading, even a widely held idea can be false. One can remain a novice for many years. Still, you might hesitate to change your wrong beliefs, especially if you’ve held them for a long time. While correct trading principles can help every trader, I know that many traders won’t follow them. Maybe you learned about trading before without feeling that you’ve benefited from what you learned. If so, don’t give up. Trying to trade successfully when you’ve been taught wrong principles is like trying to assemble a puzzle using a wrong picture as a reference. You might put a few pieces together correctly but then give up in frustration when these don’t match the overall picture you were given. Start with the right picture, though, and the pieces will fall into place. Learning the truth about trading is more than intellectual exercise – it can change your life for the better. Similarly, taking risk management serious can help you gain serenity and peace of mind in an uncertain market.

Azeez: Engineer Davies, thank you very much for sharing your trading thoughts with us. We wish you the best of luck and success for the future.

NB: Please watch out for my coming articles with these titles: ‘Another EURUSD-USDCHF Correlation Strategy,’ ‘Experiment with Different Exit Tactics,’ ‘Mastering the Market Equilibrium Zones – A Time-sensitive Method,’ ‘How I Apply Risk Management – Part 3,’ ‘A Simple RRR – Trading Effortlessly,’ ‘Testimonies from My Subscribers,’ ‘Excellent Money Management Flexibility – Make the Best Choice!’ ‘Resist the Lure of High Risk – Part 3’ ‘Worst-case Scenarios – Facts Are Sacred,’ ‘Effective Swing Trading in Forex,’ ‘Advanced Gap Trading – Trading with Insane Accuracy,’ ‘3 Recent Gap Trades,’ ‘Developing the Right Attitude towards Losses - Part 4 (Losses Aren’t Abnormal) ,’ ‘The True Holy Grail – The Long Sought for,’ ‘Suicide Trading Techniques,’ ‘ Clarifying Some Issues – Part 5,’ ‘Optimization of the USDCAD Hedging Strategy – Bringing the USDCAD to Subjection,’ ‘Overview of My Signals Strategies,’ ‘The Cost of Discipline,’ ‘Monthly Market Review,’ ‘Uncertainty Has Become My Ally – An Interview with a Dogged Market Speculator,’ ‘2 Examples of the USDCAD Hedging Trades,’ ‘Is It Realistic to Give Guarantees in Trading?’ ‘Monthly Trading Report (Augsut 2011),’ etc.

Your questions and opinions are highly welcome.

Thank you.

With best regards,

Azeez Mustapha

Forex Signals Strategist, Funds Manager &Coach

Senior Analyst

FX Instructor, LLC

Email: amustapha@fxinstructor.com

Yahoo! Messenger ID: saazalmu

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