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Sunday, April 26, 2020

WHY TRADING IS VERY HARD – Part 2


What Most Retail Traders Do
The sad fact, most people become traders after they have lost their jobs or sources of income and they’re now looking for a way out. When certain people still have other sources of income, they won’t want to do anything with Forex – until they lose those sources of income. That’s when they’ll begin to consider trading as a viable option. As a result of this, they put unnecessary pressure on themselves. Things are easier for traders who also have other means of survival.

The principles that guarantee lasting success in the markets are completely contrary to what many people want to hear or do. This is because we’re not naturally wired to trade normally.

Most retail traders blow their accounts, replenish and fund, blow the accounts again, and then replenish it, and then blow it again. This cycle goes on and on. Whenever they think they have a better trading idea or software or strategy, they fund the account and blow it again.

There are also retail traders who move from one broker to another. Clearly, traders deposit more money than they withdraw.

Like I said in my previous articles, NEVER believe anyone who shows you images/screenshots of winning trades. No matter how sweet-mouthed or “professional” they seem to be. The realities are far different than what they’re showing you, and even rookies can also make occasion profits by luck.

Unless they give you access to a demo account to monitor for 4 months, or register a trading account on MyFxbook.com to give you a link to see it, which shows the statistics and data of the trader’s speculative activities (hit rate, RRR, Sharpe Ratio, expectancy, maximum drawdowns, biggest win, biggest loss, consecutive wins, etc.), never believe them. Because they won’t post a screenshot of losing trades.



A Challenge
If there is anyone here who wants to prove me wrong. That person would need to give us access to an MT4 account that is at least 10 years old, and on which an annual profits have been made for 10 years while placing a minimum of 4 trades per month (with no margin calls, but only occasional withdrawals of profits).

Then I would tender my apology in this group, for saying that long-term success is not possible.

But I bet that no-one; I mean no-one, can show me this. Where are the gurus in the house?

BUT. You can say: PEOPLE ARE MANAGING MONEY FOR OTHERS AND THEY ARE GIVING INVESTORS 20% PER MONTH.

Yes, there are many people doing that, but that is not sustainable. Promising investors a certain amount per month is nonsense. How can you ever do that in what you cannot control? If you could control the market to your favor always, then you can tell investors that you will give them a fixed percentage per month.

The truth is that, most of those funds managers will come up with monthly drawdowns and they would spend a long time trying to recover the losses; whereas investors won’t know. The managers will be using deposits from new clients to pay old clients. And as long as they do this, new clients will keep coming.

This is a Ponzi scheme that is not sustainable.

Fact: Professional traders encounter occasional losing streaks and they would spend weeks or months, trying to recover those losses, with hope of moving ahead later.

If you’re the best trader in the world, you will have times when the market will not be favorable to your strategy. The period may be short or long, and it is recurrent. At times, you’ll find yourself spending weeks or months, trying to recover recent roll-downs. There is no way around this. You have to accept this fact or go do something else.

The only difference is that the best trader will eventually recover those losses, no matter how long it takes, and then move ahead and make more profits. Sooner, they encounter another roll-downs, and they stay on the defensive, as long as it takes them to recover. They ultimately recover and make more profits. The equity dips, grows higher, dips again, and makes another higher high, and so on. This is the reality many people won’t accept, and failure to accept that often results financial disaster.

Is There Any Hope?
Yes there is hope and a way out. All hope is not lost. My premise is that if only 1% or 2% or 5% of all retail traders make money consistently, then you should be one of them.

Yes, there is hope” The Ultimate Secrets to Consistent Profits” would be revealed in the next article.



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