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Friday, November 8, 2013

2 Red Pills for Traders


“For some traders, it takes many years of disappointment before they finally become successful. Only those few who never give up tend to achieve success.” – Joe Ross


The Blue Pill, the Red Pill
In order to be the best trader you can be, you need the red pill, not the blue pill. What are the meanings of these? The online encyclopedia, Wikipedia says: “The red pill and its opposite, the blue pill, are pop culture symbols representing the choice between the blissful ignorance of illusion (blue) and embracing the sometimes painful truth of reality (red).” The blue pill is good for lovers of fantasies, but sadly, fantasies and illusions can’t take you very far in your trading career. If 2 brothers smile after engaging in a serious discussion, they’ve probably lied to each other. On the other hand, if the 2 brothers’ faces look plain after a discussion, then they just told each other the truth. You’re trading Forex because you want to make profits. This goal is attainable, not with the blue pill – but the red pill. I don’t want to dampen your joy of discovering Forex, I simply want to tell you the reality of trading so that you can achieve your aims with the knowledge of the realities (as many generals of the markets have done). The red pill would enable you to approach the markets with the correct mindset. It would make you tough so that you’d be able to triumphantly scale through all the vicissitudes you’ll encounter as a trader.

The red pills explained here are the 2 most important reasons why majority of people quit trading before they can have the chance to conquer the markets. The World Wide Web is full of the articles and videos explaining why certain traders lose. The most common reasons are: trading without stops, too big lot sizes, riding losers and cutting winners, no discipline, unrealistic expectations, going against the trend, etc. The list could go on. However I want to tell you that, while these reasons are valid, they pale into insignificance if compared to the 2 red pills mentioned in this article. Without taking the red pills in this article, any knowledge of other reasons for failure can’t bring any difference to your trading career.

In order to equip you with the mindset that would enable you trade with realistic outlook (which is mandatory for long-term success), I’ll give you the 2 red pills below.

Red pill number one:
DEVELOP A DEEP LOVE FOR TRADING

Innumerable individuals have made great profits from funds managers who’re lovers of the markets. Yes, they think these funds managers are great, but the funds managers aren’t impeccable – not even the best one. These funds managers speculate according to their trading beliefs and they get rewarded eventually.

The more inexperienced traders find it challenging to make consistent profits in Forex, the more they abhor it. A speculator might stare at his screen and think the business of speculation is so challenging. They won’t stay in the career long enough to accumulate the necessary experience that can make them a master trader. Many loathe the intrinsic probability (positive expectancy) in trading. Being excessively happy during winning streaks and being excessively angry during losing streaks aren’t part of habits of wealthy traders. Those who spread lies about trading don’t help the matter either. Those who were deceived tend become livid when they discover the truth themselves. That’s why many people abhor trading and quit before they can master the art of trading. It’s your deep love for trading that can keep you going when things are not encouraging.

Do you think market wizards use intricate trading methodologies? Nope! There are factors that are crucial to long-term success in the markets, and these factors have very little to do with intricate speculative methods. The best trader in the world has an unbelievably simply trading method, but since there is no perfect strategy, there is a need for strict self-control, courage and determination (and most people don’t have this). Many people lose their heads in the heat of trading and they forget about discipline. Is it possible for you to breathe in without breathing out at all? Is it possible for you to continue eating without any subsequent defecation?  Then why would you think you can only make many profitable trades without any single losing trades? Good trading results of many years also include periods of roll-downs and breakeven.


So try to nurture positive thoughts and feelings about trading. It’s imperative that you love Forex before you can enjoy the benefits it offers. When I was at school, I simply discovered that I didn’t understand the subjects I hated. I understood only the subjects I loved, and my experience isn’t unique. How can you expect to make money from something you loathe? I love Forex because it has unlimited potential and opportunities for me. All market wizards and successful traders are lovers of trading.

Red pill number two:
YOU NEED PROTRACTED PRACTICE TO BECOME A GURU

Trading isn’t the only challenging (but rewarding) career in the world. There are many difficult careers that people engage in. For example: defusing nuclear bombs, bungee jumping, space expedition, military careers, boxing, biochemistry, microelectronics and so on. These careers require many years of learning, training and practice before you master them. There is no way around this. Many people acknowledge that it takes time to master competitive careers: you read books, attend classes, do exams, and engage in rigorous practice. Yes, there are professionals that have mastered these aforementioned careers. But when it comes to trading, people usually expect constant magic results, because there no industry standards that can guide people’s approach to trading (as the medical industry standards guide people’s approach to medicine as a career). Some even think trading doesn’t work because they’re yet to come across a truly successful trader and verify his track records.

D.R. Barton, Jr. includes this question in one of his past articles: “If your Friend Jumped Off the Empire State Building, Would You?” I now ask you, would you? Perseverance and persistence are very important to your trading success. Would you want to become a qualified pilot/doctor/lawyer/engineer/programmer in a few days? Then why should trading be different? Consistent success doesn’t come overnight. It takes time for you to become a competent trader and then go on to become an expert trader. No matter what others may tell you, consistent profits in the markets would take time: it requires experience and prolonged practice on the markets. It takes years, not months or weeks, before you can become a real trading guru (unless you’re trained by a talented coach who’s also a successful trader). Certain experts say it would take 4 or 5 years, while certain experts say it can even take more than that or less than that. Any novice can make profits by luck during a winning streak, but it takes years of experience to remain victorious in favorable and unfavorable market conditions. Luck only works for short-term success; long-term success requires experience and skills. The only short cuts are:  (1) investing with successful traders and (2) being mentored by a talented trading coach who also has track records of profitable traders. 

Conclusion: Don’t believe those negative things people say about Forex, it’s because they hate it and they don’t know how to become consistently profitable. Don’t be discouraged by them, for they aren’t trading experts. For you to succeed, you must love trading and you should know that it would take time to master the art of trading. The reasons why most won’t eventually become expert traders boil down to these 2 red pills. If you don’t take the pills, you’ll at last, realize that they’re indispensable. The pills may be bitter in your mouth, but they’ll be sweet inside you. You need to take them before you can join the ranks of successful traders. Financial freedom beckons!

This piece is ended with a quote from Dr. Van. K. Tharp:

“And in my experience, it is only the people who are really committed who will put in the work necessary to become successful.” – Dr. Van. K. Tharp

Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach

Eye-opening trading lessons: Lessons from Expert Traders



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