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Wednesday, December 12, 2018

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Why people are afraid of old age (exposed)


What's the hardest part about getting older?

At age 55, I find the hardest part about getting older is the mismatch between the internal and the external.

Internally, I haven’t changed all that much from the optimistic, energetic and goofy young woman I was in my 20’s. I am lots wiser than when in my youth due to learning from life experiences; however, at the core, my personality has remained fairly consistent.

I have many ideas for creative projects I would like to initiate, forms of physical exercise I enjoy and want to continue, places I want to see, loved ones I want to communicate with, etc.

I have not lost my adoration of cute shoes, especially strappy retro styles. I would wear them every day if I could.



However…

Externally (physically), my body just doesn’t have the energy and stamina of even 5 years ago.

Menopause has been a particularly difficult portion of the aging process for me. Sometimes I feel like a young adolescent who is enthralled yet horrified at the bodily changes brought about by fluctuating hormones. Where in the hell did this body come from? Some days my inner self just doesn’t seem to fit inside the skin quite as nicely. I find this disconcerting.

Menopause has also meant that my metabolism has slowed. I wasn’t a heavy eater before, and it seems that even my lighter diet contains more calories than my body requires. My increasing waist line is evidence of this state of affairs. At this point I have to decide whether I want to give up my passion for baking, my love of a nice glass of wine between work and dinner prep, or just learn to be happy at a higher weight.

I have developed lax ligaments in the toes of my left foot. This means a special insole in my shoes, which means no more wearing strappy retro styles that I adore so much. Which means that I have to tweak my style of dress to accommodate the kinds of shoes that I can wear. (I am hopeful that my podiatrist can help ameliorate this issue so I can return to my former fashion choices.)

This also means that my beloved Zumba sessions are halted, and maybe even banned forever, as well as the dance videos I incorporated as regular exercise. Dang. And I was just beginning to learn tap dance.

I want to age gracefully. However, I find myself raging a bit on the inside at the sense of injustice that growing older means giving up things that have brought joy to my life.

                                               
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Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Bitcoin (BTC) Daily Price Forecast – December 12


BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish

·         Resistance Levels: $6,800, $6,900, $7,000
·         Support levels: $3,300, $3,200, $3,100

Yesterday, December 11, the price of Bitcoin was in a bearish trend. In the last 48 hours, the price of Bitcoin had been in the bearish trend zone.

The crypto's price had been fluctuating above the $3,400 price level. It was suggested that if the bears broke the $3,400 price level, the crypto will resume the downtrend and price is expected to test the $3,000 price level.

Today, the crypto's price is below the EMAs and price is fluctuating above the $3,400 price level. Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. Also, the BTC price is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is likely to fall.


BTC/USD Short-term Trend: Bearish


On the 1-hour chart, the price of Bitcoin is in a bearish trend. In the bearish trend of yesterday, the crypto’s price fell to the low of $3,413.3 and commenced a bullish movement on the upside. The bulls broke the 12-day EMA but were resisted by the 26-day EMA and price fell back to the bearish trend zone.

Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is likely to fall. The Relative Strength Index period 14 is level 37 which indicates that price is nearing the oversold region.


The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

Sunday, December 9, 2018

Litecoin (LTC) Long Term Price Forecast – December 8


LTC/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish

·         Resistance Levels: $60, $70, $80
·         Support levels: $30, $20, $10

The LTC/USD pair had been in a smooth downtrend since the beginning of November 2018. On November 1, the crypto had an opening balance of $50.13 but has depreciated to the low of $25.25.

The crypto's price is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which is an indication of price falling. The exponential moving averages are tending southward an indication of a downtrend. From the Stochastic indicator, the reading is in the range below 20%.

This indicates that the price of Litecoin has a strong bearish momentum and a sell signal. Since the bearish momentum of Litecoin is strong, the crypto is likely to fall. Meanwhile, the price of Litecoin is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that a bearish trend is ongoing. The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.


The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExhangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

Saturday, December 8, 2018

Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (December 2018)


GOLD (XAUUSD)
Dominant Bias: Bullish   
Gold has been making attempts to go upwards this month. The attempt started on November 13, when price reached the monthly low of 1195.90, and since then, price has gained roughly 5200 pips. This has generated a bullish signal in the market (both in the long-term and the short-term). The bullish signal is supposed to be sustained until the end of the year as price gains another 3000 pips minimum, thereby creating a huge Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Short positions are not currently recommended.

SILVER (XAGUSD)
Dominant Bias: Neutral
Unlike Gold, which has had a sensible bullish signal on it, Silver remains neutral, with no directional movement in the last few weeks. In the long run, the neutrality has been in place since August 2018. Although there seems to be some noticeable bullish effort in the short-term, that is not significant enough to result in a bullish signal, unless price goes above the supply zone at 15.0000, which would require some determined buying pressure in the market. While the current consolidation will probably continue for some time, the trend is expected to end before the end of this year, leading to a breakout that will most probably favor bulls.





Wednesday, December 5, 2018

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Tuesday, December 4, 2018

Ethereum (ETH) Daily Price Forecast – December 5


ETH/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $240, $250, $280
Support Levels: $100, $90, $80

Yesterday, December 4, the price of Ethereum was in a bearish trend. There had been no significant price movement in the last 24 hours. The crypto's price is fluctuating below the 12-day EMA and all the price movements were resisted by the 12-day EMA. From the daily chart, the digital currency was unable to break the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA.

This indicates that the price of Ethereum is not likely to rise. Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. The price is Ethereum is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicates that price is in the bearish trend zone. If the price tests the lower price level of $100 and the level holds; traders should initiate long trades in anticipation.


ETH/USD Short-term Trend: Bearish


On the 1-hour chart, the crypto's price is in a bearish trend. Today, the bullish trend broke 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA and commenced range bound movement above it. But the crypto's price fell again below the EMAs which will result in the downtrend.


The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.
Top of Form

Sunday, December 2, 2018

Bitcoin (BTC) Long Term Price Forecast- December 1


BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance levels: $7,200, $7,400, $7,600
Support levels: $4,000, $3,800, $3,600
The BTC/USD pair was bearish in the month of November 2018. The crypto's price is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is in the bearish trend zone. The digital currency is likely to fall in the month of December 2018. 

Meanwhile, on November 1, Bitcoin has an opening balance of $6,362.99 and today, November 30, the price is at $4,098.88. The price of Bitcoin has depreciated by 35.58 % of its capitalization.

However, all the bullish pullback has been erased by the bearish pressure. There will be no need for trade recommendation as the bearish pressure is ongoing.The MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal. 

Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin is likely to fall as the price is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA.


The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

Saturday, December 1, 2018

Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (December 3 - 7, 2018)


Here’s the market outlook for the week:


EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The bias is neutral in the short-term and bearish in the long-term. Last week, price swung upwards and downwards without having a directional movement. That is going to change this week, as a prolonged directional movement is expected, which would most probably favor bulls, as price is approaching major support lines at 1.1250 and 1.1200 (areas where further bearish effort will be rejected).  

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
Although inversely, when compared to the EUR/USD, this pair is neutral in the short-term and bullish in the long-term. The market also moved upwards and downwards last week, without any clear direction. This week, a clear directional movement is anticipated and that would most probably favor bears. This does not mean there cannot be rally attempts, but it would meet a strong hindrance at the resistance levels of 1.0050, 1.0100 and 1.0150.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish  
This is a bear market – both in the long and the short term. Bullish efforts have proven abortive as the market retains its bearishness. On Friday, price closed at 1.2744, and it may go further downwards towards the accumulation territory at 1.2700, and below that.  However, the further southwards the price goes, the higher the probability of a bullish breakout when it does happen, and that will be strong when it happens.  



USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
USDJPY is slightly bullish – with a kind of precarious Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Further rally from here will result in a stronger Bullish Confirmation Pattern; while a southwards movement from here will result in nullification of the Bullish Confirmation Pattern, which may harbinger a “sell” signal in the market. Either of the aforementioned scenario will materialize this week, for a rise in momentum is expected.  

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Neutral
This is a neutral market, which has been consolidating for the past 3 weeks. The consolidation phase is bounded by the supply zone at 130.00 and the demand zone at 126.00. As long as price is within that supply zone and that demand zone, the consolidation phase will exist. On the other hand, there should be an end to the consolidation phase before the end of the week. It is after that that winners will be determined; either the bull or the bear.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Neutral  
This is a flat market, which has been particularly flat since the middle of November 2018. There is supposed to be an end to the flatness this week, because a rise in the momentum of the market is expected. The most probable direction would be skywards when a breakout does occur, because there is a high probability that GBP will gain enormous stamina. The supply zones at 146.00, 146.50 and 147.00 might be reached soon.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Trading is like playing chess; you can learn a lot about it by reading books but if you really want to get good in it, you actually have to do it on your own. Practice is necessary to becoming successful in many professions; and trading is one of them!” – Andy Jordan



  

  





Thursday, November 29, 2018

Litecoin (LTC) Daily Price Forecast – November 29


LTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bullish

Resistance Levels: $66, $68, $70
Support Levels: $25, $23, $21

Yesterday, November 28, the price of Litecoin was in a bullish trend. The price of Litecoin is now above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day indicating that price is rising. The digital currency has broken the $35 price level and it is fluctuating at that level. Nevertheless, if the $35 price level holds traders should initiate long trades above that price level.

Also, a stop loss order should be placed below the $35 price level. Meanwhile, the price of Litecoin is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is in the bullish trend zone. Also, the MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy  signal.


LTC/USD Short-term Trend: Bullish


On the 1-hour chart, the crypto's price is in a bullish trend. The digital currency is making a series of higher highs and higher lows. Meanwhile, the crypto's price is above the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is in the bullish trend zone. Also, the MACD line and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal. 


Traders are to ride on the bullish trend as long the uptrend last. They should allow the market to take them out of trading.



The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExhangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.




Sunday, November 25, 2018

Ethereum (ETH) Daily Price Forecast – November 26


ETH/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish

Resistance Levels: $240, $250, $280
Support Levels: $100, $90, $80

Last week the price of Ethereum was in a bearish trend. The digital currency was below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA which indicated that price was going to fall. On November 19, the crypto's price was resisted by the 12-day EMA and price fell in a downward trend.

The digital currency fell to the low of $107.57 but the crypto's price was still within the bearish trend zone. Today, price is making a bullish movement from its low but may face resistance at the 12-day EMA. Meanwhile, the MACD line and the signal line are below the zero line which indicates a sell signal.

Price is likely to remain bearish as long as the crypto is below the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA.


ETH/USD Short-term Trend: Ranging


On the 1-hour chart, the crypto's price is in a sideways trend. On November 25, the digital currency fell to the low of $103.58 and commenced a bullish movement. The bullish candlestick broke the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA indicating that price is rising. The 12-day EMA now provides support for the digital currency.

If price breaks the 26-day EMA and remains above it, the crypto is likely to rise. But if it fell below the 26-day EMA, the crypto is likely to continue its downtrend trend.



The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.
Top of Form

There is no magic in trading



THERE IS NO MAGIC

“Your trading methodology has to make sense for you even if it’s the opposite of what makes sense for other people. Choices made in developing your approach to trading should suit you personally to minimize internal conflict. Only then will you have the confidence to remain true to its development and its execution during tough times. The long-term advantage of developing your own system from scratch (rather than trading someone else’s system) assures you of high compatibility with your beliefs, personality, edges, and objectives. That compatibility becomes one of your sustainable edges. As Curtis Faith of Turtle fame noted: “It’s not about the system, it’s about the trader’s ability to execute the system.” – (Source: VanTharp.com)


LB and I have just wrapped up the final in our series on full time trading. For the most part they have been enjoyable except for one twat who complained that it was unprofessional of LB to not present when she was suffering from severe laryngitis. Presenting for the first time in years is an interesting thing as the expectations of those you present to also change over time.

This particular series could be summarised as all the mistakes I have made in trading and the solutions I have found such as they are. One of the things I have learnt over the past few decades is that there is no magic. Trading is a grinding profession where your central tenet is not to go broke waiting for the next big move. I think in part some attendees were waiting for the magic.



That point in the seminar where you do a grand reveal of your magic strategy that never has a losing trade which means you can quit your job tomorrow and start trading full time with nothing other than a credit card because CFD providers will now in their wisdom allow you to fund your account with credit and earn frequent flyer points.

Regrettably the field of investing has been tainted by endless shonks who have polluted the thinking of people before they even set foot in the market. Before writing this piece, I Googled trading bitcoin for a living and got 35,900,000 returns. Certainly not all of them relate to trading bitcoin or any other crypto full time but if even 10% do then then that’s a staggering 3.5 million  sites promising people that they can give up their day job and start trading overnight.

The central theme of these sorts of sites and it is not limited to cryptos is that you can trade full time with very limited capital. And you can do this because you will never have a losing trade. Your equity curve will be a linear trajectory that soars from the bottom left hand corner of the chart to infinity without ever breaking stride. I can understand why this sort of thing has permeated the thinking of new traders.

Whilst this sounds seductive it ignores many of the key realities of trading the foremost of which is that trading does not produce linear returns. We encounter a feature of equity curves called drawdown. All trading systems generate drawdowns – in a very general sense if you are a trend following you expect to have a drawdown of between 15% to 25% once per year. As an example, consider the equity curve below.

This is the equity curve of Dunn Capital a money manager that uses trend following as its basic tool. You see decades of outperformance punctuated by drawdowns. There is an inviolate relationship between performance and drawdown, if you are swinging fr the fences you need to expect to be struck out a lot. Irrespective of the trading system drawdown is a fact of life for traders – it can only be avoided by not trading. If someone tells you that their equity curve never draws down, then they are a liar. It really is that simple.

The implication for those seeking to trade full time is that your first drawdown will coincide with your move to full time trading. This is a natural feature of systems, they cut their losses and then let their profits run. There is a timing dislocation between these two events that results in the account value immediately slipping. The problem is that this occurs at a time when you are most economically and emotionally vulnerable, it is also a problem because most new traders are undercapitalised. They simply don’t have enough money because they have not thought their transitions through and they may or may not have been infected by the thinking that you can give up your day job and earn 100k a year on a bank of 50k. It is at this point in a seminar that I can see how people begin to sag because it begins to dawn on them that they need much more than think to survive as a trader.

However, I think they are missing the bigger picture since the move to full time trading does not have to be an all-in proposition. The move can occur gradually over time as your capital grows and you acquire more skill. And along the way your life begins to change in small but incremental amounts. You may even reach a point where you stop believe in magic and start believing in your own ability to slowly and inexorably change your own life.

Author: Chris Tate


I end this piece with the quotes below:

“Just coming back from vacation where we’ve been doing a lot of hiking in the mountains, here’s an analogy. You’re standing on a peak of a mountain looking at an even higher peak. But to get there you first have to go down that small valley…no way around it!

It's the same in trading, so as long as the size of the drawdown is within your expectations, you can and should relax when you’re in a drawdown. It's just a necessity you have to endure to get those profits. So understanding and accepting Drawdowns as part of this business will make your life as a trader much easier!” – Marco Meyer (Source: Tradingeducators.com)

“Having said that drawdowns are still making me uncomfortable. I don't like them at all and each time I'm in a big one I'm having the same doubts and troubles most of you probably have too. But knowing that actually nothing is wrong helps a lot to make it through these times. Without that knowledge and understanding, you not only have the doubts but you allow them to win over, follow them and then probably stop trading at the worst time possible.” – Marco Meyer (Source: Tradingeducators.com)


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