Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (April 25 - 29, 2016)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

                                          

EURUSD

Dominant bias: Bearish

This pair was bearish last week. Bulls tried to push price upwards. But as a result of severe opposition from bears, price came down on Friday, following the volatility that occurred on Thursday. There is a “sell” signal in the market, and it may probably go further downwards this week, reaching the support lines at 1.1200 and 1.1150. Price might even go below these targets, and the “sell” signal would never be invalidated until the resistance line at 1.1400 is overcome.  

USDCHF

Dominant bias: Bullish

The current bullish movement on this pair started on Wednesday, April 20, 2016. This has led to a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and it is likely that price would continue its bullish movement this week, reaching the resistance levels at 0.9800 and 0.9850. A movement beyond these resistance levels is even possible: though there is one obstacle in the way of USDCHF, and that is an expected strength in CHF before the end of this week. Please watch CHF pairs.      

GBPUSD

Dominant bias: Bullish

As it was mentioned last week, GBP was able to rally against certain majors, which is visible on some crosses like GBPNZD, GBPJPY, GBPCHF, EURGBP, etc. GBPUSD also was bullish last week in spite of desperate struggles of bears against it. From the accumulation territory at 1.4150 the price trended upwards, with some pullbacks on the way, reached the distribution territory at 1.4450, before the market closed on a slight retracement. Price moved upwards by roughly 300 pips last week; plus further northward movement is expected this week. 

USDJPY

Dominant bias: Bullish

USDJPY went upwards by 370 pips last week. At the beginning of last week, price gapped down slightly into the demand level at 108.00, and since then a rally started gradually (from Monday to Thursday). That rally gained momentum on Friday, April 22, 2016, and this has resulted in an invalidation of the recent bearish outlook on the market. The bias is now bullish and further northward movement of at least, 150 pips, is expected this week. One thing must be noted: There is also a possibility of a strong bearish movement on USDJPY (and of course, other JPY pairs) before the end of this week.        

                                                                                                                               

EURJPY

Dominant bias: Bullish

This currency trading instrument also went bullish last week by 360 pips, after price ran into a solid demand zone at 122.00 at the beginning of last week. On Friday, price closed above the demand zone at 125.00, now very close to the supply zone at 125.50. This has rendered the recent bearish outlook on the market useless. The market would continue moving north this week, since there is now a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, but that does not rule out probability00 of a pullback before the end of this month.       

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Markets are a reflection of rational human behavior — whether 5min or monthly chart. This fractal nature of markets is due to humans’ psychological make-up. Until we evolve into a new species, price action will always be the same.” – Gabriel Grammatidis

Source: www.tallinex.com

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