Here’s the market outlook for the week:
EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The bias is neutral in the short-term and bearish in the long-term. Last
week, price swung upwards and downwards without having a directional movement.
That is going to change this week, as a prolonged directional movement is
expected, which would most probably favor bulls, as price is approaching major
support lines at 1.1250 and 1.1200 (areas where further bearish effort will be rejected).
USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
Although inversely, when compared to the EUR/USD, this pair is neutral in
the short-term and bullish in the long-term. The market also moved upwards and
downwards last week, without any clear direction. This week, a clear
directional movement is anticipated and that would most probably favor bears.
This does not mean there cannot be rally attempts, but it would meet a strong
hindrance at the resistance levels of 1.0050, 1.0100 and 1.0150.
GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This is a bear market – both in the long and the short term. Bullish
efforts have proven abortive as the market retains its bearishness. On Friday,
price closed at 1.2744, and it may go further downwards towards the
accumulation territory at 1.2700, and below that. However, the further southwards the price
goes, the higher the probability of a bullish breakout when it does happen, and
that will be strong when it happens.
USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
USDJPY is slightly bullish – with a kind of precarious Bullish
Confirmation Pattern in the market. Further rally from here will result in a
stronger Bullish Confirmation Pattern; while a southwards movement from here
will result in nullification of the Bullish Confirmation Pattern, which may
harbinger a “sell” signal in the market. Either of the aforementioned scenario
will materialize this week, for a rise in momentum is expected.
EURJPY
Dominant bias: Neutral
This is a neutral market, which has been consolidating for the past 3
weeks. The consolidation phase is bounded by the supply zone at 130.00 and the
demand zone at 126.00. As long as price is within that supply zone and that demand
zone, the consolidation phase will exist. On the other hand, there should be an
end to the consolidation phase before the end of the week. It is after that
that winners will be determined; either the bull or the bear.
GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Neutral
This is a flat market, which has been particularly flat since the middle
of November 2018. There is supposed to be an end to the flatness this week,
because a rise in the momentum of the market is expected. The most probable
direction would be skywards when a breakout does occur, because there is a high
probability that GBP will gain enormous stamina. The supply zones at 146.00,
146.50 and 147.00 might be reached soon.
This forecast is concluded with the quote below:
“Trading is like
playing chess; you can learn a lot about it by reading books but if you really
want to get good in it, you actually have to do it on your own. Practice is
necessary to becoming successful in many professions; and trading is one of
them!” – Andy Jordan
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