Here’s the market outlook for the week:
EURUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
The market did not do anything significant last week. In fact, the market has generally been choppy
since February 2018. There is a support line at 1.2150 and a resistance line at
1.2450. As long as price moves within the aforementioned support and resistance
lines, the neutrality in the market will continue. Ultimately, price will
either go below the support line at 1.2150 to form a bearish bias; or it may go
above the resistance line at 1.2450 to form a bullish bias.
USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
In the short-term, the market is bullish. However, it is neutral in the
medium-term and bearish in the long-term. Now, in the short-term, price moved
sideways from Monday to Wednesday and then rose on Thursday, becoming bullish.
From the support level at 0.9350, price rose above the support level at 0.9500,
closing above it on Friday. There could be further upwards movement, but it
will not last long because a considerable amount of pullback is expected this
week, owing to a bullish outlook on CHF, which may cause other CHF pairs to go
bearish (and USDCHF included).
GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Cable is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in
the short-term. What happened last week is best called consolidation, because
there was no strong directional movement in favor of the bull or the bear. A
directional movement is supposed to happen this week, as GBP rises against some
currencies like USD, but it may drop versus other currencies like NZD. There
are accumulation territories at 1.3800, 1.3750 and 1.3700. Likewise, there are
distribution territories at 1.3900, 1.3950 and 1.4000.
USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The outlook on this pair remains bearish, but some bullish effort was
made last week. For instance, price rose from the demand level at 105.50, to
test the supply level at 107.00. This kind of price action can only threaten
the extant bearish bias when price gains additional 150 pips, from here. There
are demand levels at 106.50, 106.00 and 105.50. Likewise, there are supply
levels at 107.00, 107.50 and 108.00.
EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Price moved sideways on March 5, rose upwards later that day and on March
6, but then consolidated throughout last week. The consolidation can continue this week, but
a rise in momentum is also expected. When a breakout occurs, it will most
likely be in favor of the bear, because the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for
this week. Therefore, initial targets may be put at the demand zones of 131.00,
130.50 and 130.00.
GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market is bearish, but it made bullish effort throughout last week. Last
week, it rose from the demand zone at 145.50, to test the supply zone at 148.50
(over 300-pip movement). The upwards movement was considerable enough, but that
may turn out to be an opportunity to go short when price rises in the context
of a downtrend. The outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week. Within this
week and next, the market is expected to drop at least, 300 pips. The demand
zone at 145.50 is the initial target and that may be exceeded eventually.
This forecast is concluded with the quote below:
“Try to be humble,
honest, and ready to face your own shortcomings as a trader. If you can do, you
will have a better chance to be consistently profitable.” –
Andy Jordan
Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach
No comments:
Post a Comment