There are many binary options strategies out there, but most of them are
losers (they make money in the short-term, but make losses in the long-term).
There are 2 reasons why most of those strategies are losers: (1) Their long-term
accuracy is below 60% or even below 50%. (2) The money management styles of the
strategy as employed by its users are suicidal.
There is a guru who has a large following on Twitter, Telegram, WhatsApp
and Facebook. He has been touting his BO strategy as a money spinning machine.
The man is a Nigerian and he’s fond of giving free cash and airtime to people
online. But it’s also well-known that he has another source of income apart
from trading.
The way he praises his strategy is so convincing that we decided to give
it a try to see if his strategy is better than our strategy.
We opened a demo account for it, after studying his strategy and practicing
it diligently. Yes we mastered the strategy. However, we cannot apply it to the
live account we use for our investors. That would be stupid.
How the Strategy works
You use one-minute chart to enter your trades.
You use Volatility Index 10, and the tick is 1 or 2.
Then you watch the market and enter the direction of the candle upon
retracements in price. That’s all.
After doing it many, many times. We see that that method only comes with
50% accuracy after a long period of time, though you may think the accuracy is
higher than that if you find yourself in a winning streak, which is often temporary.
Then another thing is that the strategy uses a Martingale money
management method. Rough example:
If you risk 20 USD and win, you continue risking 20 USD per trade. If you
lose a trade, then you risk 40 USD next. If you lose that, then you risk 80 USD
next. If you lose that, then you risk 160 USD next, and if you lose that, you
risk 320 USD next.
Before you lose 5 trades in a row, the premise is that you’re supposed to
win at least once.. And once you win, that win will recover all your previous
losses at once, and then you go back to continue risking 20 USD per trade.
The problems with this system
are:
You need unlimited funds to continue trading in a losing streak, so that
you can recover all your funds once you win a trade. That is the secret of the strategy,
not any higher accuracy. But most of us don’t have unlimited funds.
You can lose 5 or more trades in a row and that would eat deep into your
account. Winning 5 trades in a row is far less common that losing 5 trades in a
row. You can have nice profits quickly, and then suffer crazy drawdowns.
Conclusion: The strategy sounds
logical at first, but in the end, it doesn’t make sense. It only wastes time,
energy and data; as the more you trade, the more your broker and your IB get
richer.
When you stay glued to your computer for a long time, you remain a slave.
A free man is someone who spend a little time online and at the end, has some
profits to show for it.
Our own strategy takes only 15 minutes or less to trade. And when in a
losing streak, we reduce our lot sizes, to reduce losses and control drawdowns.
When in a winning streak, we increase the lot sizes, to maximize profits and
compound them. And idea that makes you double your risk anytime you lose is
guaranteed to make your blow your account eventually.
Whether you want us to manage your funds or you want to buy it and trade
it for yourself, you can contact us.
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