Saturday, September 17, 2016

Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (September 19 - 23, 2016)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:
Dominant bias: Bearish
EUR/USD moved sideways last week, from Monday till Thursday, and then broke downwards by 85 pips on Friday. Had price failed to break downwards on Friday, the bias would have become neutral in the short-term. Now, the bias is bearish, and price might test the support lines at 1.1100 and 1.1050 this week. This bearish bias would be valid until the resistance line at 1.1300 is breached to the upside.     

Dominant bias: Neutral
Although this pair trended upwards on Friday, September 16, the movement was not significant enough to cause a clear bias on the market. Price has tested the resistance level at 0.9800, and it has almost breached it. A movement above the resistance line at 0.9850 would result in a bullish bias, and a movement above the resistance level at 0.9900 would result in a stronger bullish bias, although it would be a kind of difficult for bulls to move price above that level (0.9900). A movement below the support level at 0.9650 would cancel the neutral bias and result in a bearish signal.

Dominant bias: Bearish
GBPUSD dropped 280 pips last week, closing below the distribution territory at 1.3000 on Friday. The bias on the market is bearish in the long-term and the short-term. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market and price is expected to reach the accumulation territories at 1.2950, 1.2900 and 1.2850 this week (unless something fundamental changes the stance). GBP pairs, except EURGBP, are currently bearish.
Dominant bias: Neutral
This instrument moved within volatility contraction throughout last week, which has resulted in a neutral bias in the near-term. Price moved within the demand level at 103.50 and the supply level at 101.50. This week, the most probable direction is southwards, which would become visible as momentum increases in the market. There is a strong indication that JPY pairs would go bearish this week, just in conjunction with the long-term bearish outlook on them.
Dominant bias: Bearish
This cross pair went down on Monday and went up on Tuesday. On Wednesday, price topped at 116.08, and began to move south from that day until the market closed on Friday. That was a southward movement of about 200 pips, which has brought about a bearish signal in the market. Since the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week, it is possible that the demand zones at 113.50 and 113.00 would be tried this week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“It's tempting to tell ourselves that “it’s OK to wait” and “the market will always be there” – as we give ourselves excuses for not taking the next trade. But let’s face facts. If you sit on the sidelines for too long, you may just miss out on the opportunity that will double your trading equity.”  – Louise Bedford

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