Saturday, December 17, 2016

Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (December 19 - 23, 2016)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:
Dominant bias: Bearish   
EURUSD trended downwards last week, just as it was expected. Price moved sideways from Monday till Wednesday, when it started dropping further downwards. The support line at 1.0400 was tested, and although price closed above it, it would be tested again. The outlook on EURUSD is bearish for this week. So we may see further bearish movements which may enable price to break the support lines at 1.0400, 1.0350 and 1.0300 to the downside. Eventually, EUR might reach parity with USD. 

Dominant bias: Bullish
In exact opposite manner to EURUSD, this market underwent a shallow bearish retracement within December 12 and 14. Price went up significantly on December 14, moving briefly above the resistance level at 1.0300, and later closing below it. USDCHF would continue to make rally attempts, though it would come across some challenges this week. While bearish corrections could be contained around the support levels of 1.0050 and 1.0000, the resistance levels at 1.0300 and 1.0400 would be the targets for this week.

Dominant bias: Bearish   
This market consolidated on Monday and Tuesday, to drop southward on Wednesday, according to forecast last week, in the context of a downtrend. The accumulation territory at 1.2400 has been tested again and again, but there is a considerable amount of opposition to the bearish movement, around the accumulation territory. Price would go below it this week, owing to the fact that the bias on GBPUSD (as well as some GBP pairs), remains bearish for this week and for the rest of this month. Price would still go downwards by a minimum of 300 pips before the end of this year.

Dominant bias: Bullish
According to last week analysis, this trading instrument went upwards 300 pips last week, after moving sideways on Monday and Tuesday. Since November 9, price has trended northwards more than 1700 pips; and the northward movement could continue this week. There is Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market and the supply levels at 118.50 and 119.00 may be tested this week. As from now on, the movements on JPY pairs would be determined by strength of individual currency, not the weakness in Yen. This means USDJPY could rally further while GBPJPY could plummet.
Dominant bias: Bullish   
There are going to be serious movements in the JPY markets this week (while next week would be quiet), and EURJPY would not be an exception. This is a bull market, and while there may be occasional pauses and consolidation along the way, there could be further bullish movement. However, the ongoing weakness in EUR could scuttle this expectation. As long as price does not cross the demand zone at 121.00 to the downside, the bullish bias would hold.   

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“In order to taste success in the trading market, you'll need to develop really simple strategies. You're likely to take trading decisions in a more confident way, remain headstrong and gain more winning opportunities when you follow some really simple strategies.” - Sean Lee

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