Here’s the market outlook for the week:
EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair went south last week, testing the support line at 1.0500, and
then bouncing upwards on Thursday and Friday. The upwards bounce would turn out
to be a good selling opportunity because price is expected to trend further
downwards this week, reaching the support line at 1.0500 again and breaking it
to the downside. The outlook on EURUSD (as well as other EUR pairs) is strongly
bearish for this week and the month of March.
USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
There is a weak bullish signal on USDCHF. The signal is weak because price
has moved upwards only by about 200 pips in the whole of February. There was an
upwards movement last week, which pushed price briefly above the resistance
level at 1.0100, before the correction that was witnessed in the last two
trading days of the week. There is still a tendency for price to continue going
upwards, as long as EURUSD journeys southwards.
GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
For at least, three weeks, Cable has been moving sideways, hence the
neutral bias on the market. Price has only oscillated between the accumulation territory
at 1.2350 and the distribution territory at 1.2600. There is a need for price to
go above that distribution territory, staying above it; or below that accumulation
territory, staying below it, before the neutral bias can be considered as being
over. Until this happens, the bias would remain neutral. There is a possibility
that GBP pairs would go considerably bearish in March, though they would make
some attempt to rally around the end of that month.
USDJPY
Dominant bias: Neutral
This trading instrument is neutral in the medium-term and bearish in the
short-term. Price consolidated last week, and then trended downwards on
Thursday and Friday. This is an action that has led to a Bearish Confirmation
Pattern in the short-term, which may enable price to reach the demand levels at
111.50 and 111.000. This does not rule out a possibility of a rally, since some
serious bullish effort is expected on most JPY pairs in March.
EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
There is a strong bearish signal on this cross, which has moved downwards
by 350 pips so far this month. The market went southwards 150 pips this week, closing
below the supply zone at 118.50. The demand zones at 118.00 and 117.50 could
also be tested this week. On the other hand, a serious weakness in Yen may
cause price to jump upwards, which is something that would possibly happen in
the March.
This forecast is concluded with the quote below:
“A good plan
will include a well-tested strategy, a trading method, or a setup. Having a
positive expectation should allow you to have the confidence to start trading
your plan.” – Andy Jordan
Source: www.tallinex.com
Azeez Mustapha
Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach
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