Saturday, February 25, 2017

Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (February 27 – March 2, 2017)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair went south last week, testing the support line at 1.0500, and then bouncing upwards on Thursday and Friday. The upwards bounce would turn out to be a good selling opportunity because price is expected to trend further downwards this week, reaching the support line at 1.0500 again and breaking it to the downside. The outlook on EURUSD (as well as other EUR pairs) is strongly bearish for this week and the month of March.   

Dominant bias: Bullish
There is a weak bullish signal on USDCHF. The signal is weak because price has moved upwards only by about 200 pips in the whole of February. There was an upwards movement last week, which pushed price briefly above the resistance level at 1.0100, before the correction that was witnessed in the last two trading days of the week. There is still a tendency for price to continue going upwards, as long as EURUSD journeys southwards.

Dominant bias: Neutral
For at least, three weeks, Cable has been moving sideways, hence the neutral bias on the market. Price has only oscillated between the accumulation territory at 1.2350 and the distribution territory at 1.2600. There is a need for price to go above that distribution territory, staying above it; or below that accumulation territory, staying below it, before the neutral bias can be considered as being over. Until this happens, the bias would remain neutral. There is a possibility that GBP pairs would go considerably bearish in March, though they would make some attempt to rally around the end of that month.

Dominant bias: Neutral
This trading instrument is neutral in the medium-term and bearish in the short-term. Price consolidated last week, and then trended downwards on Thursday and Friday. This is an action that has led to a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the short-term, which may enable price to reach the demand levels at 111.50 and 111.000. This does not rule out a possibility of a rally, since some serious bullish effort is expected on most JPY pairs in March.  

Dominant bias: Bearish  
There is a strong bearish signal on this cross, which has moved downwards by 350 pips so far this month. The market went southwards 150 pips this week, closing below the supply zone at 118.50. The demand zones at 118.00 and 117.50 could also be tested this week. On the other hand, a serious weakness in Yen may cause price to jump upwards, which is something that would possibly happen in the March.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“A good plan will include a well-tested strategy, a trading method, or a setup. Having a positive expectation should allow you to have the confidence to start trading your plan.” – Andy Jordan




 Azeez Mustapha

Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach


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