Sunday, February 12, 2017

Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (February 13 - 17, 2017)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair trended downwards last week, going below the resistance line at 1.0650. The movement so far this month is essentially bearish and there is a possibility that further bearish movement would continue to hold out, as the support lines at 1.0600, 1.0550 and 1.0500 are targeted this week. There is a need for price to go above the resistance line at 1.0800 before the current outlook can be rendered invalid.

Dominant bias: Bearish
USDCHF is bearish in the medium-term, and bullish in the short-term. In the short-term, price has moved from the support level at 0.9900, towards the resistance level at 1.0050. This has already generated a short-term bullish signal, and a movement above another resistance level at 1.0150 would result in a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. It is important to note that price has succeeded in breaching the great level at 1.0000 to the upside, making more bullish movement very likely.   

Dominant bias: Neutral
GBPUSD is currently in an equilibrium phase – having moved generally sideways last week (though price was volatile on February 7). While the market could remain in the equilibrium phase, there is going to be a serious breakout this week or next, which would most probably favor bears. The outlook on GBP pairs for this month remains bearish and heavy selling pressure could start anytime.   

Dominant bias: Bearish
The bullish expectation for JPY pairs did not materialize last week, save a weak rally that was seen on Thursday. The bias on the market is still bearish, and price could attempt to test the demand levels at 112.50 and 112.00. On the other hand, the bullish expectation on JPY pairs are still in place: JPY pairs could assume strong rallies any day this week or next; with USDJPY being caught in a strong buying pressure.

Dominant bias: Bearish  
From Monday to Wednesday, this cross pair went down 180 pips, testing the demand zone at 119.50. Price has been making some negligible bullish attempt since then, rallying by 170 pips and getting corrected lower on Friday. This kind of alternative but transient victories between the bull and the bear would continue until there is a protracted, directional movement, which is expected to be in favor of the bull. Short trades are may not be held onto for too long.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“By the way, the absolute best trading opportunities these days are in Forex.” – Dr. Van K. Tharp




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