Saturday, September 15, 2018

Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (September 17 - 21, 2018)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:

Dominant bias: Neutral
The bias on EUR/USD has essentially turned neutral, as price has not made any significant upwards or downwards movement in the last several trading days. There is a resistance line at 1.1750, and there is a support line at 1.1500. Either the resistance line must be breached to the upside, or the support lines must be breached to the downside before there could be a directional bias. That is what is expected before the end of this week or next.

Dominant bias: Bearish
This is a bear market. In the medium-term, the market has been swinging up and down.  The price action is characterized by higher lows (which proffer opportunities to sell short at slightly higher prices), and lower lows, which follow the line of the least resistance. The most probable direction for the market this week is bearish. Price has remained bearish when EURUSD was weak, and therefore, it would be very difficult for USDCHF to trend upwards when EURUSD breaks out upwards.

Dominant bias: Bullish  
A clean bullish signal has already been generated in the market. Even in the higher time horizon, price has been going upwards in the past four weeks. On Friday, the market closed on a slightly bearish note – which would eventually turn out to be a temporary pullback in the market. The recent bullish journey is expected to resume, and the distribution territories at 1.3100, 1.3150 and 1.3200 may be reached within two weeks.

Dominant bias: Bullish
A straightforward bullish signal has been generated and there is a high probability that the market would continue to make higher highs, owing to the Bullish Confirmation Pattern that was present in the market. Within the next several trading days, price is expected to reach the supply levels at 112.50, 113.00 and 113.50. There is also a demand level at 111.00, which is supposed to be a barrier to any bearish pullbacks along the way.    

Dominant bias: Bullish
The bias is bullish, but the bullishness is weak. Further bullish movement is expected but any surprisingly negative fundamentals can send the market tumbling (owing to the precariousness of the market). The next targets are the supply zones at 130.50, 131.00 and 132.00. A very strong buying pressure is needed for the supply zone at 132.00 to be breached to the upside, and this will not come without bearish machinations.

Dominant bias: Bullish
This cross gained about 370 pips last week, having gained over 700 pips since August 15. Price closed on Friday, around the demand zone at 146.00. The outlook on the market remains bright, and therefore, in spite of any possible pullbacks in the market, general movement will be towards the north. The Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market will aid price towards the supply zones at 146.50, 147.00 and 147.50.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“I realized that the more common pitfalls you avoid, the more edges you have relative to other traders operating with less awareness.” – VTI

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