Here’s the market outlook for the week:
EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
The current bias on the market is bullish, but the bullishness is not
very strong. Price consolidated in the first few trading days of last week, and
went higher on Thursday. The outlook on the market remains bullish for this
week, and thus, buying pressure may take price towards the resistance lines at
1.1750 (which was previously reached), 1.1800 and 1.1850. There is also a good
support line at 1.1650, which should try to prevent any meaningful pullback
along the way.
USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market dropped roughly 100 pips last week, having dropped 400 pips
since August 17, 2018. Since there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the
market, it is assumed that the price should continue going further and further
downwards, reaching the support levels at 0.9550, 0.9500 and 0.9450 within the
next few weeks. There could be some transitory rallies along the way, but they
should not be significant to the extent of overriding the current bearish
market. .
GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
This long-term and the short-term biases are bullish. Since August 16,
2018, price gained 600 pips, resulting in a confirmed “buy” signal. On
September 21, there was a serious pullback in the market, which made price drop
200 pips from the high of that day. The drop was not strong enough to bring
about a “sell” signal, unless the market drops at least, another 200 pips. This
will determine what the market will do next.
USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
About two weeks ago, a clean bullish signal was generated on this
currency trading instrument, and the signal has been sustained till now. For
about two weeks, price has gone northwards slowly and gradually, gaining about
200 pips. There is much room for price to go northwards: The supply levels at
113.00, 113.50 and 114.00 could be aimed at, although a very strong buying
pressure is needed to reach the supply level at 114.00..
EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
Like USDJPY, this cross has been going upwards in the last two weeks (a
gain of roughly 500 pips). Since there is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the
market, further northwards journey is possible, even in spite of the minor
bearish retracement that was witnessed last Friday. The supply zones at 135.50,
136.00 and 136.50 could be reached within the next several trading days. They
could even be exceeded.
GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
Since a bullish signal was generated on GBPJPY, price has made a
significant gain. Nonetheless, there was a pullback on September 21, which
cannot be ignored (a pullback of 240 pips). It is normal for price to resume
its northward journey from here, giving a good opportunity to go long at lower
prices. On the other hand, the market could pull back further, and that may
threaten the recent bullish signal.
This forecast is concluded with the quote below:
“Any one of the many
trading strategies available to traders can be used following the principle of
matching personal risk tolerance to the amount of risk in the market.” –
Joe Ross
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