It is expected that Bellzone Mining Shares (LSE: BZM)
will continue to fall lower and lower as explained in this article. Never
think a price will not fall any further as a result of being appearing very
cheap. Bullish corrections would merely enable sellers to enter the markets at
higher prices in the context of the current downtrend. This is a market that is
being pushed lower and lower by bearish pressure.
Technical Forecast
This
market has been in a downtrend - that is the overall trend. Average Directional
Movement Index (ADX) period 14 and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD,
default parameters) are used for this analysis. What we currently have on the
chart is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern. The ADX shows that the market pressure
has been low for a considerable amount of time, yet the -DI (Directional Index)
is above its +DI counterpart, emphasizing the bears’ supremacy in spite of what
is happening right now in the markets. The only logical thing to do here is to
look for a sell signal. The market corrected higher last week, a Doji
candlestick pattern formed on September 10, 2012 (showing the indecision in the
market), and then, the price began to come down further. You may take a look at
the chart.
This
is a SELL signal, no matter what we think. At the time of writing this article,
the Bellzone stock was trading at 14.25. The nearest distribution zones are
15.00 and 15.50; but the price is expected to trade lower and test the
accumulation zones around 13.00 and 12.50. This still portends a clean signal
showing expert distribution by professionals. In contrary, looking for sustained
volatility to the upside is not recommended. Even after the market has been
corrected higher in the near-term, it would signify some clandestine
short-selling by institutions, just as a pullback in a downtrend is often an
indication of institutions that are buying into a bull market. Experienced
traders have learned to accept the fact that the market could not care less, it
is not even aware of what our positions are.
Conclusion: It is obvious that a
trading advantage can be gained with chart analysis. This market is weak. Fright
causes prices to nosedive massively, as covetousness causes prices to rally
massively occasionally. Chart analysis and market reading constitute a method
of measuring the biases present in market players - something that remains
timeless.
This
article is ended with the quote below:
“There is no
trader who only earns profits. Loss-trades do not mean that the trade is a bad
one or that the whole strategy is poor. A trade is only then a bad one if it is
executed randomly, emotionally and without a plan and a strategy.” -
Florian Erik Neinert
NB: You would be exposed to
world-class, cutting-edge, and top-notch trading experiences here: www.advfn.com
Azeez Mustapha
Market Analyst, Trading Signals Provider and Coach
Copyright (C) ADVFN PLC
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