Saturday, March 26, 2016

Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (March 28 – April 1, 2016)

Here’s the market outlook for the week:
Dominant bias: Bullish   
As expected, this pair got corrected lower last week, moving downward by 120 pips before closing while consolidating. The support line at 1.1150 has been tested and it would be breached to the downside this week. EUR would be seen weakening against major currencies before the end of this month, except in the case of EURJPY (making the bias on the market go bearish). Therefore, the support lines at 1.1100, 1.1050 and 1.1000 are vulnerable this week and next. 

Dominant bias: Bearish
USDCHF moved higher by 100 pips last week, closing above the support level at 0.9750. It might be possible for USDCHF to go upwards this week, because further bearish movement on EURUSD could help it to rally. In addition, CHF itself has a probability of becoming weak soon (CHF could be weak versus other majors, save CHFJPY). Thus the resistance levels at 0.9800, 0.9850 and 0.9900 could be attained this week or next.

Dominant bias: Bearish  
This currency trading instrument went south by roughly 400 pips last week, almost reaching the accumulation territory at 1.4050. Although there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, bulls would be seen trying to push up the price this week, with a measure of success. There is an accumulation territory at 1.4000, which would try to hinder further bearish journey. When price turns and goes upwards, the distribution territories at 1.4200, 1.4250 and 1.4300 could be attained this week or next.

Dominant bias: Bearish
USDJPY was seen making bullish effort throughout last week. However, the bullish effort was not significant enough to bring about a change in the dominant bias. It is expected that the pair would continue moving upwards this week, owing to a bullish expectation on JPY pairs. USDJPY would move upwards by a minimum of 100 pips during the week, causing a bullish bias to form in the market.
Dominant bias: Neutral
This cross consolidated throughout last week, neither going below the demand zone at 125.00 nor going above the supply zone at 126.50. A breakout is imminent this week, which would most possibly favor bulls. A closer look at the market shows that the bulls are still determined to effect a rally here, which could make price to reach the supply zones at 127.00 and 127.50.      

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“It's useful to remember that you may not win on any single trade, but after a series of trades you will have enough winners to make a profit in the long run.” - Andy Jordan  

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