Tuesday, June 6, 2017

Technical Forecasts for CFDs (June 2017)

Dominant bias: Bearish
On this market, a bearish signal was generated last month, when the market lost over 23,000 points. This has resulted in a Bearish Confirmation Pattern, as this month was also opened on a strong bearish note. The market has lost more than 10,000 points this month, and this is just the beginning. In June, it is expected that AUS200 would lose at least, 20,000 points (10,000 points having been lost already). Thus, the support lines at 5630.00, 5600.00 and 5570.00 would be targeted and possibly be exceeded as the market goes further southwards.

Dominant bias: Bullish
SPX500 consolidated from May 3 to 16, and then nosedived to test the support level at 2346.0. After that, price assumed a strong bullish movement as it rose over 800 points, ending May on a strong bullish note.  SPX500 has done nothing significant this week, save roughly sideways movement – in the context of an uptrend. The current consolidation may continue for the next several trading days, but when momentum rises, it would most probably favor bulls as price goes further north. The bullish bias on the market is far from being over.

Dominant bias: Bullish
US30 as usual, is normally correlated with SPX500. The movement in the market in May, plus what has happened so far this month, is quite similar to the movement on the SPX500. Price consolidated between May 2 to 16, and then pulled back to test the accumulation territory at 20496. More pullback was rejected as price rose by roughly 600 points, seeing the month of June start with a strong bullish propensity. Nonetheless, the market has not done anything significant after that, save the ongoing sideways movement in the context of an uptrend. There would soon be a breakout which would most probably favor bulls.

Dominant bias: Bullish
This is a bull market, but things are quite rough. The last 2 weeks of May were particularly choppy, with no directional movement. Should the current condition of the market continue for the next several trading days, the bias on the market would become neutral in the short-term (whereas the long-term bias would remain bullish, as long as the market does not lose 5000 points from here). In spite of the extant choppy condition, the outlook on GER30 remains bullish for the month of June. So, price would eventually go towards the initial supply levels at 12850.0, 12900.0 and 12950.0. The first two supply levels were previously tested.    

Dominant bias: Bullish
FRA40 was caught in an equilibrium phase in the last 2 weeks of May, while the bullish bias on the market remained intact. In June, a bearish signal has been generated in the short-term, while the long-term bias remains bullish (but threatened). The short-term bearish signal was caused by a 700-point bearish movement that occurred since the beginning of June. A movement towards the demand zone at 5090.0 would invalidate the dominant bullish bias, though that would require a heavy selling pressure in the market. A serious movement to the upside would override the short-term bearish signal in the market, and strengthen the dominant bullish bias.

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